Originally posted by ChimpMaster
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DOOM: "Omicron Covid cases ‘doubling every two to three days’ in UK"
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Blog? What blog...? -
Originally posted by malvolio View PostThe question they should be answering is "How many people are getting sick from Omicron and how many of those are in hospital". So far, the answer seems to be "hardly any"...
And no, the questions we need answers to are:
1)How much more or less dangerous is it compared to Delta for those who get it
2)How much more or less transmissible is it
3)To what extent do vaccines prevent infection and particularly, serious illness
We're still seeing multiple hundred people die every day. We still have thousands in hospital and ~1000 admitted per day. About 2% of those with positive tests still end up in hospital... and this is all with a highly vaccinated population using very effective vaccines. As we enter the worst part of the winter, a significant drop in vaccine efficacy will directly lead to a non-trivial hike in hospitalisations and serious illness. This is basic self-evident statistics.
The UK is barely keeping a lid on things without restrictions, against Delta - it is just about managing unlike many EU neighbours but the situation is clearly precarious.
Originally posted by MaryPoppinsI'd still not breastfeed a naziOriginally posted by vetranUrine is quite nourishingComment
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Originally posted by malvolio View Post
That's basic Darwinism. Any parasitic organism that doesn't reach a balance between transmission and lethality will not survive.
You're starting to sound like some of the anti-vaxxers in the fringes of my church.Originally posted by MaryPoppinsI'd still not breastfeed a naziOriginally posted by vetranUrine is quite nourishingComment
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Originally posted by NigelJK View Post
But still 'jabbed' anyway ...
"You’re just a bad memory who doesn’t know when to go away" JRComment
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Originally posted by malvolio View PostThat's basic Darwinism. Any parasitic organism that doesn't reach a balance between transmission and lethality will not survive.
But 10% mortality for a virus with very high R (like Omicron) won't make a dent in transmission, plus people don't drop dead straight away from it - takes weeks whilst main infection is spread early on.
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Originally posted by malvolio View Post
That's basic Darwinism. Any parasitic organism that doesn't reach a balance between transmission and lethality will not survive.Comment
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Originally posted by NigelJK View PostIs this the same Professor who ignores nearly200 years of immunology2 years of covid research that says that if you have had Covid you are immune from catching the same strain again?
The 200 years of immunology includes viruses such as measles, which has been demonstrated fairly conclusively that once you've had it, then you're immune for life. https://www.science.org/content/arti...-people-longer
I suggest that Neil Ferguson may have got some things wrong, but he knows far more about immunology than you do - or other idiots who routinely deride him. So don't be a prat.Down with racism. Long live miscegenation!Comment
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Originally posted by mattster View Post
Why do people keep repeating this?
Down with racism. Long live miscegenation!Comment
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Originally posted by NotAllThere View PostBecause it has an element of truth about it and is easy to understand. HTH.
But experts say this expectation has no scientific basis. “Put simply, this has been one of the most baffling misinformation myths peddled during the pandemic,” said Prof Alan McNally, director of the Institute of Microbiology and Infection at the University of Birmingham. “There is almost no evidence of any human pathogenic virus evolving towards reduced virulence.”Comment
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