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More deaths than...

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    More deaths than...

    ..births last year.

    We are turning into Japan.

    BBC News - UK deaths outnumber births for first time in 40 years https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57600757

    Last year more deaths than births were registered in the UK for the first time since 1976.


    In total, just over 683,000 births were registered compared with nearly 690,000 deaths.

    This was only the second time deaths have outnumbered births since the late 1890s.

    The coronavirus epidemic led to a sharp rise in deaths last year but birth rates have also been falling for the last decade.


    The coronavirus effect
    The number of deaths in the UK has been rising in recent years, but part of that increase is due to the UK population increasing and getting older.

    Last year's 13% rise in that figure is attributed by statisticians to the coronavirus pandemic.

    It was the largest jump in a single year seen since World War Two, bringing death rates, the chances of any single person dying, back to levels seen in 2008.

    Figures published this morning by the Office for National Statistics suggest the first lockdown had not led to a baby boom.

    Birth rates in December and January, nine months after lockdown started, were sharply down on the same months one year before.

    But the pandemic has affected register offices, leading to problems with birth registrations, so the ONS "urges caution" when reading meaning into these figures.

    Falling birth rates
    Part of the reason that deaths have outstripped births is that births have been falling steadily in every nation of the UK since at least 2015.

    The Office for National Statistics says this is because we are having children later in life and fewer of them.

    This trend has been happening for decades but it wasn't apparent in the noughties as another trend was masking it.

    Back then, younger migrants tended to have more children than UK-born mothers and so they propped up British birth rates.

    But this is no longer the case and birth rates have been falling since 2011, feeding through into a lower total number of births by the middle of the decade.

    When did this last happen?
    The last time deaths outnumbered births was in 1976.

    In that year, there were just under 681,000 deaths and about 5,000 fewer births.

    The main driver was falling birth rates: the late 1960s and 1970s saw sharp falls in the number of live births in the UK.

    There has been some relationship between the state of the economy and the number of births and the low levels in the 70s coincided with a faltering economy.

    But the biggest reason for the sharp change was the widespread availability of contraception and the legalisation of abortion in the UK in the late 60s.

    It is likely that more Britons died than were born during some years of the World Wars, with the smallest gap between the two in 1940, the year of the Blitz.

    But deaths of military personnel who died abroad are not included in the UK death registration figures charted above.
    "You’re just a bad memory who doesn’t know when to go away" JR

    #2
    That's great news if it means reducing incentive to concrete over most of England!
    Work in the public sector? Read the IR35 FAQ here

    Comment


      #3
      It's because we're becoming more environmentally friendly. The best way to reduce our impact on the earth is breed less.

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by ladymuck View Post
        It's because we're becoming more environmentally friendly. The best way to reduce our impact on the earth is breed less.
        This. We need to build houses for all our descendants, and feed them at the same time. Don't believe any politician who thinks they have the answer to that one, because they don't.
        His heart is in the right place - shame we can't say the same about his brain...

        Comment


          #5
          the population of the UK still grows.
          Always forgive your enemies; nothing annoys them so much.

          Comment


            #6
            We're told that reduced birth rates are bad as it leads to an aged population, but it's also clear that population growth is a major driver for pollution, emissions, deforestation, climate change, etc.

            So has anyone postulated what would work? A very very slow decline?
            Originally posted by MaryPoppins
            I'd still not breastfeed a nazi
            Originally posted by vetran
            Urine is quite nourishing

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by d000hg View Post
              We're told that reduced birth rates are bad as it leads to an aged population, but it's also clear that population growth is a major driver for pollution, emissions, deforestation, climate change, etc.

              So has anyone postulated what would work? A very very slow decline?
              a slow decline combined with better late life health and automation seems the most likely to succeed.
              Always forgive your enemies; nothing annoys them so much.

              Comment


                #8
                Don't worry. Uncontrolled immigration will write it off and more.
                'CUK forum personality of 2011 - Winner - Yes really!!!!

                Comment


                  #9
                  Originally posted by northernladuk View Post
                  Don't worry. Uncontrolled immigration will write it off and more.
                  As long as they are youngish, have no children here and leave well before they can claim a state pension it's ok as they will be contributors.
                  "You’re just a bad memory who doesn’t know when to go away" JR

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by SueEllen View Post

                    As long as they are youngish, have no children here and leave well before they can claim a state pension it's ok as they will be contributors.
                    I seem to recall that remain to leave isn't quite the lifelong right to live here that one might expect. There does seem to be some kind of 'feck off when you get old' aspect to it.

                    Not having had to suffer the UK immigration system, I don't know how true that is. It's just something a South African friend mentioned to me.

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