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Previously on "Want a fixed rate mortgage?"

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  • GitMaster69
    replied
    Originally posted by northernladuk View Post
    Mine expires in January. I've got Freelancer Finacials on it. The mortgage provider can give me a quote now and honour it through to Jan so I can get one in Jan and take the lesser of the two. That's the plan but providers are pulling agreements left right and center at the moment. I'm expecting my arse to be handed to me when Jan comes
    just go with london and country ,will sort you out ...for no fee..

    Leave a comment:


  • SueEllen
    replied
    Originally posted by Martin@AS Financial View Post


    Just out of interest - do you think we will now see a return of contractors offering their services through their ltd companies in light of the recent news or will it still be determined by the end client? (assuming the IR35 reforms do not get reformed in light of Kwarteng going?
    They will change the law after a GE.

    So some clients won't change their stance, others will.

    Leave a comment:


  • Martin@AS Financial
    replied
    Originally posted by northernladuk View Post

    Apparently the contractor lenders will lend to an Umbrella contractor based on their day rate. How's that going to work???

    N.B. that was a year or two ago, not sure if that is still the case.
    Afternoon NLUK

    Yes - this is still true in that some lenders can ignore the umbrella payslip and work on the gross value of the day rate. Other lenders will look at the value of the payslip (ie basic / holiday pay / commission). and deduct the umbrella costs as a commitment.

    Just out of interest - do you think we will now see a return of contractors offering their services through their ltd companies in light of the recent news or will it still be determined by the end client? (assuming the IR35 reforms do not get reformed in light of Kwarteng going?

    Leave a comment:


  • vetran
    replied
    Originally posted by GregRickshaw View Post
    We thought we were dead clever and that by having our mortgage fixed at 14% for five years.... way back when 92 I think.

    It went down every single year after we signed.
    to be fair we have fixed ours between 4-2% occasionally we have paid more but the security is worthwhile.

    Penalties for leaving have reduced since then.

    Leave a comment:


  • GregRickshaw
    replied
    We thought we were dead clever and that by having our mortgage fixed at 14% for five years.... way back when 92 I think.

    It went down every single year after we signed.

    Leave a comment:


  • Guy Incognito
    replied
    Originally posted by AtW View Post

    Hi, Gricer
    ??

    Leave a comment:


  • DealorNoDeal
    replied
    Originally posted by Lance View Post

    Much as I think a house price drop, caused by interest rate hikes (like the early 90s), would be beneficial for the market (if not my pocket), it wouldn't stick for long as there are not enough houses.
    If the prices do drop, then BUY BUY BUY.... No good for me, I bought in August.
    That's probably why they didn't go down that much after the 2008 financial crisis. (Unlike in Florida and the Costas.)

    From a selfish PoV, I don't want prices to go down because I'm counting on equity release to top up meagre pensions in a few years time.

    Leave a comment:


  • Lance
    replied
    Originally posted by mattster View Post

    Yeah, I mean it is an obvious point but almost always (deliberately?) ignored by boomers when they go on their weekly (daily?) "I used to pay 15% interest" rant. The bottom line with mortgages is that people are willing to pay about 30% of their monthly income on a mortgage, and they don't really care if that is low interest on a massive principal or high interest on a low principal. The latter is the less risky proposition by far, with plenty of upside potential (lower rates, retain the low principal) vs all downside risks when starting at 1% interest on a massive loan. Rates return to long-term trends and suddenly you are paying 6x per month on the interest component, and still have a massive principal. At least one hopes that inflation will help a little in this situation and erode the real value of the debt fast but could be tough few years for some until that happens.
    the people (boomers mostly) who bang on about higher interest rates forget some salient facts.

    - In the 90s when interest rates high 15% for a few hours, there was a recession, a drop in house prices, negative equity and defaults
    - the 80s. Inflation and interest rate were high and had been for some time. It wasn't an unexpected surge. Also the inflation ate away at the debt, so what was a difficult loan to service became far easier as wages increased. Defaults were only a problem in the first year or two of the mortgage.
    - 60s 70s similar to the 80s with far higher rates across the medium term
    - THERE WAS SUFFICIENT HOUSING

    none of those facts apply now

    Leave a comment:


  • Lance
    replied
    Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post

    I imagine the ratio for all Southern regions (excluding London) would be pretty high.

    I guess we'll find out over the next year or so whether 6% interest rates are a problem.
    Much as I think a house price drop, caused by interest rate hikes (like the early 90s), would be beneficial for the market (if not my pocket), it wouldn't stick for long as there are not enough houses.
    If the prices do drop, then BUY BUY BUY.... No good for me, I bought in August.

    Leave a comment:


  • mattster
    replied
    Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post

    Yes, this caught my attention in the recent Nationwide thingy posted by Martin@AS Financial.

    I assume mortgages have followed a similar trajectory. I remember the days when all you could borrow was 3x single or 2.5x joint. These days, the multiples must be much higher, which is fine when interest rates are rock bottom. But with them now at 6%...
    .

    Click image for larger version Name:	Nationwide.png Views:	0 Size:	48.3 KB ID:	4235867
    Yeah, I mean it is an obvious point but almost always (deliberately?) ignored by boomers when they go on their weekly (daily?) "I used to pay 15% interest" rant. The bottom line with mortgages is that people are willing to pay about 30% of their monthly income on a mortgage, and they don't really care if that is low interest on a massive principal or high interest on a low principal. The latter is the less risky proposition by far, with plenty of upside potential (lower rates, retain the low principal) vs all downside risks when starting at 1% interest on a massive loan. Rates return to long-term trends and suddenly you are paying 6x per month on the interest component, and still have a massive principal. At least one hopes that inflation will help a little in this situation and erode the real value of the debt fast but could be tough few years for some until that happens.

    Leave a comment:


  • SueEllen
    replied
    Originally posted by vetran View Post

    Sunny Slough a decent two bed flat is £250k. You can move into a war zone for cheaper.
    Is that next to the train station or near the M4?

    Leave a comment:


  • vetran
    replied
    Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post

    I imagine the ratio for all Southern regions (excluding London) would be pretty high.

    I guess we'll find out over the next year or so whether 6% interest rates are a problem.
    Sunny Slough a decent two bed flat is £250k. You can move into a war zone for cheaper.

    Leave a comment:


  • DealorNoDeal
    replied
    Originally posted by Lance View Post

    talk about a cherry picked data set. Was that from Scooty?
    Here's another, cherry picked just to show a different story. London is an outlier that skews all data and should be excluded, ESPECIALLY when house prices are the subject.
    I imagine the ratio for all Southern regions (excluding London) would be pretty high.

    I guess we'll find out over the next year or so whether 6% interest rates are a problem.

    Leave a comment:


  • Lance
    replied
    Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post

    Yes, this caught my attention in the recent Nationwide thingy posted by Martin@AS Financial.

    I assume mortgages have followed a similar trajectory. I remember the days when all you could borrow was 3x single or 2.5x joint. These days, the multiples must be much higher, which is fine when interest rates are rock bottom. But with them now at 6%...
    .

    Click image for larger version Name:	Nationwide.png Views:	0 Size:	48.3 KB ID:	4235867
    talk about a cherry picked data set. Was that from Scooty?
    Here's another, cherry picked just to show a different story. London is an outlier that skews all data and should be excluded, ESPECIALLY when house prices are the subject.

    Click image for larger version  Name:	house-price-earnings-ratio-uk-regions-1996-2021.jpg Views:	0 Size:	96.9 KB ID:	4235922
    Last edited by Lance; 6 October 2022, 17:01.

    Leave a comment:


  • _V_
    replied
    Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post


    Click image for larger version Name:	Nationwide.png Views:	0 Size:	48.3 KB ID:	4235867
    Interesting the long term slope upwards there, the UK property prices are only sustained by larger and and larger income multiples. Not doubt the next 50 years people will think nothing of borrowing 20x their joint income on a multi-generational mortgage spanning 100 years.

    How else will a 3 bed semi in Brum demand a £7m price tag.

    Leave a comment:

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