Oh Dear that right wing rag the Slaver is suggesting Reform are beating the New LIE 2.0 - HOW VERY DARE THEY!
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...les-says-study
Don't tell anyone that comic Reuters suggest that Reform will become the official opposition.
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uks...ys-2025-02-03/
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...les-says-study
Labour faces losing scores of seats to Reform UK across England and Wales as a widening section of voters lose faith in the mainstream parties, according to a new analysis seen by the Observer.
With senior figures in the Labour party now privately talking about a “change of era” in which more moderate voters are turning to Nigel Farage’s party, new research on Reform’s influence suggests it will take far more seats from Labour than from the Conservatives on current trends.
Reform would win 76 seats if an election were held now, according to a constituency-by-constituency model. Of those, 60 would be won from Labour, including seats across the “red wall”, as well as in Wales and across the south of England.
Labour fears grow as Reform eyes victories in local election battleground
Read more
However, the analysis also reveals that even a relatively small further swing towards Reform from Labour could see the party pick up another 76 Labour-held seats.
The narrow Labour lead in many seats means it is susceptible in the event of a high turnout among Reform voters, a surge in Reform’s support, or a drop in Labour turnout.
The huge study, commissioned by the Hope Not Hate campaign group, has been carried out by the Focaldata polling company using a mega-poll, or MRP, made up of almost 18,000 voters.
Its analysis of almost 4,000 voters currently minded to back Reform found that one in five were “moderate, interventionist” voters who were unlike those who had backed Farage at the last election or supported Ukip or the Brexit party in the past.
With senior figures in the Labour party now privately talking about a “change of era” in which more moderate voters are turning to Nigel Farage’s party, new research on Reform’s influence suggests it will take far more seats from Labour than from the Conservatives on current trends.
Reform would win 76 seats if an election were held now, according to a constituency-by-constituency model. Of those, 60 would be won from Labour, including seats across the “red wall”, as well as in Wales and across the south of England.
Labour fears grow as Reform eyes victories in local election battleground
Read more
However, the analysis also reveals that even a relatively small further swing towards Reform from Labour could see the party pick up another 76 Labour-held seats.
The narrow Labour lead in many seats means it is susceptible in the event of a high turnout among Reform voters, a surge in Reform’s support, or a drop in Labour turnout.
The huge study, commissioned by the Hope Not Hate campaign group, has been carried out by the Focaldata polling company using a mega-poll, or MRP, made up of almost 18,000 voters.
Its analysis of almost 4,000 voters currently minded to back Reform found that one in five were “moderate, interventionist” voters who were unlike those who had backed Farage at the last election or supported Ukip or the Brexit party in the past.
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uks...ys-2025-02-03/
LONDON, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Nigel Farage's right-wing Reform UK party is now the most popular political party in Britain, beating the governing Labour Party to take the lead for the first time in an opinion poll published on Monday.
The poll, conducted by YouGov for the Times newspaper, showed that if a general election were held tomorrow 25% of British voters would choose Reform, 24% would pick Labour, and 21% would vote for the Conservatives.
The poll, conducted by YouGov for the Times newspaper, showed that if a general election were held tomorrow 25% of British voters would choose Reform, 24% would pick Labour, and 21% would vote for the Conservatives.
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