Just taking a step back and looking at the basics of where we're going with the lockdown, what we're trying to do, what we want, etc.
Boris has confused the nation on Sunday and is still struggling to explain it all, and what it all means.
However, 'Getting the R down' to control the virus and save lives seems to be the central message.
But is this right? and are the results of this plan actually going to be the same as 'what we want'?
I thought that we would surely want to resume normal life, with the virus either eliminated, or simply no longer a threat.
The lockdown easing strategy doesn't help us get back to this at all. The only thing it will guarantee is that we stay under some sort of lockdown rules for the foreseeable future.
If anything we will have an extremely long period of a stagnated economy, no contact with friends and family, no holidays, no sports, more suicides, and a generally angry and peed off population.
Well it wouldn't be a bad strategy if a vaccine was just around the corner, which I think most of us think is the plan.... but pinning our hopes of a vaccine may also be fruitless. Boris said himself that we may never find one, and he only 'hopes' that one may be found.
So failing an actual vaccine, we just wait until we have herd immunity right?
I saw BBC news provide an estimate yesterday that our coronavirus antibodies are around:
10% of population of London
4% for all of UK (average)
Thats quite some way off the 60% we need to protect the country from further outbreaks.
Reaching 60% at our current lockdown rate will just take forever, and may never be reached at all if we're so hellbent on keeping R down under 1.
So the current plan in my mind appears to be 'lockdown forever'..
There must be another way
Boris has confused the nation on Sunday and is still struggling to explain it all, and what it all means.
However, 'Getting the R down' to control the virus and save lives seems to be the central message.
But is this right? and are the results of this plan actually going to be the same as 'what we want'?
I thought that we would surely want to resume normal life, with the virus either eliminated, or simply no longer a threat.
The lockdown easing strategy doesn't help us get back to this at all. The only thing it will guarantee is that we stay under some sort of lockdown rules for the foreseeable future.
If anything we will have an extremely long period of a stagnated economy, no contact with friends and family, no holidays, no sports, more suicides, and a generally angry and peed off population.
Well it wouldn't be a bad strategy if a vaccine was just around the corner, which I think most of us think is the plan.... but pinning our hopes of a vaccine may also be fruitless. Boris said himself that we may never find one, and he only 'hopes' that one may be found.
So failing an actual vaccine, we just wait until we have herd immunity right?
I saw BBC news provide an estimate yesterday that our coronavirus antibodies are around:
10% of population of London
4% for all of UK (average)
Thats quite some way off the 60% we need to protect the country from further outbreaks.
Reaching 60% at our current lockdown rate will just take forever, and may never be reached at all if we're so hellbent on keeping R down under 1.
So the current plan in my mind appears to be 'lockdown forever'..
There must be another way
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