Originally posted by NotAllThere
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worth a read
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Originally posted by SueEllen View PostThe documentary Contagion is still on iPlayer. Worth a watch as it's about mathematical modelling of infectious respiratory diseases e.g. flu.
They estimated just under 900,000 deaths if nothing was done. They were using a model where each person comes into contact with 1.8 others.
Watch out, you'll get into all sorts of trouble with the befuddled for talking about a program on the BBC. It's obviously wrong, biased and done by "scientists" who are not as smart as Farage, Cummings, etc.…Maybe we ain’t that young anymoreComment
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Originally posted by WTFH View PostWatch out, you'll get into all sorts of trouble with the befuddled for talking about a program on the BBC. It's obviously wrong, biased and done by "scientists" who are not as smart as Farage, Cummings, etc.Comment
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Originally posted by dsc View PostI'm not being hysterical, i just can't understand why go against what everyone else is saying ie. close everything down asap. Italy is or was roughly 3 weeks ahead and they had a really relaxed approach at the start, look where they are now. Besides there's loads of models each with it's own limitations and errors, I understand the need to look further into the future, but I think it's more important to act really quick and take radical steps asap.Down with racism. Long live miscegenation!Comment
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Originally posted by BrilloPad View PostHave house prices gone down yet?Comment
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It kills mostly the old and the sick, you think the govt wants to close down something that solves the pension and health crisis in a matter of months?Comment
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Originally posted by DimPrawn View PostIt kills mostly the old and the sick, you think the govt wants to close down something that solves the pension and health crisis in a matter of months?If you don't have anything nice to say, say it sarcasticallyComment
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Have I read this paper correctly in that whatever we do now we are looking at a minimum of 250,000 deaths?
Sent from my iPhone using Contractor UK ForumComment
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Originally posted by KinooOrKinog View PostExactly what I said to my sister last night. It's the perfect way to cull the population. I would even go so far as to say the whole thing has been no accident."I can put any old tat in my sig, put quotes around it and attribute to someone of whom I've heard, to make it sound true."
- Voltaire/Benjamin Franklin/Anne Frank...Comment
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Originally posted by PurpleGorilla View PostHave I read this paper correctly in that whatever we do now we are looking at a minimum of 250,000 deaths?
Sent from my iPhone using Contractor UK Forum
UK population- approx. 70 million.
Johnson et. al talking about Herd immunity of 60% - 42 million infected.
Of those 15% will be serious requiring medical intervention - 6.2 million.
Number of UK ICU beds per 100,000 - 6.6 (Germany has 29 and a lower death rate, quelle surprise...).
As a historical point, the UK death rate from Spanish flu was 0.5%. Using the potential infection rate above, that comes to...
210,000 (or more depending on that infection rate).
Thanks to An Engineer for setting this out for me - maths is what you need in these times."I can put any old tat in my sig, put quotes around it and attribute to someone of whom I've heard, to make it sound true."
- Voltaire/Benjamin Franklin/Anne Frank...Comment
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