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The trend: commoditisation of I.T. and falling rates

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    The trend: commoditisation of I.T. and falling rates

    Taking a lead from the theads "WebSphere, what's happened?" and the "At what point do I consider... Perm?", as well as the numerous ‘rate-cut’ threads, I wanted to throw down some thoughts I was having on the subject of contracts and rates in general, perhaps to elicit some reasoned discussion between us all.

    The decline in rates has been a trend since 2000. I.T. peaked at around that time - I can remember contractor rates of £1,000/day being commonplace and hoards of ill-prepared “consultants” being charged out at sky-high rates. Of course, there were also the canny consultants, and the fortunate ones, who had been in I.T. long enough to truly realise the benefits of the boom, to earn high rates and invest them wisely (not me).

    Computer Weekly was filled with 30 pages of articles and 50 pages of jobs at the back. Changing permie jobs involved a phone call and a short interview (or 2), and typically entailed a 40% rise in salary, it was that quick and that easy. The sun was always shining for those in I.T… it was the chosen industry of the modern era, and you could say with pride that you were an I.T. consultant.

    In addition, house prices were affordable, gold had pretty much the same value it had 20 years earlier, inflation was low and energy costs a non-issue, and the stock market was rising confidently.

    And then, with the dot.com collapse, and with some help from Al-Qaeda, and a lot of help from Greenspan, it all came crashing down. The mini-boom in-between was nothing more than a dulled attempt to feign continuation of the preceding decade’s economic success.

    Now, 10 years on, rates are on the whole lower than they were years ago, and still falling. I.T. has taken the double-whack of a hard-hitting global recession along with a global proliferation of the industry.

    The supply of I.T. skilled people has gone worldwide and has led to cheaper imports as well as off-shoring of work, impacting the western economies further as more and more jobs and business contracts are sent across the oceans. A perpetual downwards spiral. Jobs and contracts boards are quiet, far less populated than they were just a few years ago, and rates are often 50% less than what they were back in 2000. No longer is I.T. the favoured career choice of the western world.

    Cost of living is far higher, and rising still with no end in sight, and we appear to be in what will become a decade long recession.

    Personally, I can’t see the industry improving for us in the western world, and I can’t rates improving. The trend was set into motion a decade ago and has accelerated in the past couple of years. You can learn a new skill and you can teach yourself another unique selling point, but you’ll just have to do it again every couple of years. And it still won’t get you the heady rates of the good ol’ days.

    We’re now working in a commoditised industry, and it’s not going to get any better.
    Last edited by ChimpMaster; 11 November 2011, 10:23.

    #2
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      #3
      Great post. Completely agree.

      Comment


        #4
        Agree too.

        I think 'comfortable' technical contracting is dying, rapidly. Gone are the days of learning a skill and riding the associated gravy train for years.

        Options are;

        a) move away from techy work into something like BA or PM, learn a few methodologies, get some experience bish bosh.
        b) re-skill, oftern. Predicting and spotting the changing technical trends and getting in early, before the bobs catch up. I reckon this buys you 2 years max before you need to think about adapting again.
        c) perm (even then, you'll need to re-skill but not as frequently).

        As an aside to b). Current client co are using coding shops in mainland china (who don't speak english) - these are managed by the bob's (who use translation software) before the code reaches us in the UK.

        Comment


          #5
          Good article.

          For what it's worth though, I'm on the highest rate I've been on in 12 years, but as a whole I think you're correct...

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by ChrisPackit View Post
            Good article.

            For what it's worth though, I'm on the highest rate I've been on in 12 years, but as a whole I think you're correct...
            I'm currently on the same rate I started on in 1996, which is a little disconcerting...

            I think the OP has been reading my blogs over the years but he's missed a point. If there are no entry level roles, where are the middle managers and PMs coming from in five year's time? That's the real price we're paying.
            Blog? What blog...?

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              #7
              Originally posted by ChimpMaster View Post
              Taking a lead from the theads "WebSphere, what's happened?" and the "At what point do I consider...

              [SNIP]
              Agree with all you say. Made the same pitch to a contractor mate of mine about 5 years ago. His, rather excellent reply, was: "Have you seen how badly most other industries/jobs pay?"

              He was right, of course.

              In the last 5 years I've certainly not re-lived the boom days of 2000. But... I'd say even including a 7.5 month stint out of work in 2009, I've still banked £500k+ in the last five years. I'd imagine most other decent, experienced contractors have achieved exactly the same, if not more.

              Now ask yourself, where else are you going to earn that kind of cash as easily and risk-free as we do?

              For me, the 2 year re-train isn't a problem. And if I can cling on for another 5 years I'm done, retired.

              Just my two cents amongst all the doom-and-gloom.
              nomadd liked this post

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                #8
                It's a good article but goes against my experience over the last 2-3 years in that clients I have worked for have consistently found it difficult to hire high calibre people (contract and permanent). My rate has actually increased over the last 2-3 years. I think it may come down to specific skill areas/sectors. My opinion is this current situation as described in the article will sort the "wheat from the chaff" and high calibre IT professionals will always be in demand.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Originally posted by nomadd View Post
                  Agree with all you say. Made the same pitch to a contractor mate of mine about 5 years ago. His, rather excellent reply, was: "Have you seen how badly most other industries/jobs pay?"

                  He was right, of course.

                  In the last 5 years I've certainly not re-lived the boom days of 2000. But... I'd say even including a 7.5 month stint out of work in 2009, I've still banked £500k+ in the last five years. I'd imagine most other decent, experienced contractors have achieved exactly the same, if not more.

                  Now ask yourself, where else are you going to earn that kind of cash as easily and risk-free as we do?

                  For me, the 2 year re-train isn't a problem. And if I can cling on for another 5 years I'm done, retired.

                  Just my two cents amongst all the doom-and-gloom.
                  WNS

                  That's my plan, but I'll take 3 years and stop if it dries up before then.
                  "I can put any old tat in my sig, put quotes around it and attribute to someone of whom I've heard, to make it sound true."
                  - Voltaire/Benjamin Franklin/Anne Frank...

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by cojak View Post
                    WNS

                    That's my plan, but I'll take 3 years and stop if it dries up before then.
                    Won't take three years to re-skill as a professional ukulele aficionado will it? This guys started quite recently but now has Ukelele Aquisition Syndrom

                    How I became a ukulele aficionado
                    'CUK forum personality of 2011 - Winner - Yes really!!!!

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