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This is how the battle of ideas is won. with a whimper
Hansen described his projection as an outlier, and highly non-linear, most of the rise occurring long after 25 years.
However, the fundamental issue is linearity versus non-linearity. Hansen (2005, 2007) argues that amplifying feedbacks make ice sheet disintegration necessarily highly non-linear. In a non-linear problem, the most relevant number for projecting sea level rise is the doubling time for the rate of mass loss. Hansen (2007) suggested that a 10-year doubling time was plausible, pointing out that such a doubling time from a base of 1 mm per year ice sheet contribution to sea level in the decade 2005-2015 would lead to a cumulative 5 m sea level rise by 2095.
I think the straw man photo shows a rise of more than c60mm ....
My subconscious is annoying. It's got a mind of its own.
He now reckons that armageddon will occur much later, due to 'climate inertia'
This is how the battle of ideas will be won, a little backtrack here, a little 'i was misquoted' there
a little obfuscation over yonder
till we will be left standing, wondering what all the fuss was ever about
(\__/)
(>'.'<)
("")("") Born to Drink. Forced to Work
He now reckons that armageddon will occur much later, due to 'climate inertia'
This is how the battle of ideas will be won, a little backtrack here, a little 'i was misquoted' there
a little obfuscation over yonder
till we will be left standing, wondering what all the fuss was ever about
Hansen described his projection as an outlier, and highly non-linear, most of the rise occurring long after 25 years.
I think the straw man photo shows a rise of more than c60mm ....
Indeed. All you have to do is make a wide range of speculations predictions which simultaneously suggest something massive will happen which needs a lot of funding, while covering your arse in case it doesn't.
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