Originally posted by FIERCE TANK BATTLE
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Also worth noting that government spending in undeveloped countries can have a dramatic effect on GBP - every $ spend results in a $ gain. But in well developed countries the payoff ratio lowers, every $ spent results in more like 1/10 $ gain. We are already at the point where govt spending is in diminishing returns on GDP. Raise taxes too much and GDP will go down, which will lower the tax receipts.
We can probably take some assurance from that, because economists advising on this buget will know this too, and will hopefully be aiming to optimise the tax receipts over the long run instead of some kind of misguided wealth redistribution disaster that further crushes the economy.
My view is that a severe global recession is on its way, and when it arrives the govt will be spending like a drunken sailor and all these fancy new fiscal rules go out the window anyway.
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