R>1

[AtW]

Given the estimated R rate of 6 in the Netherlands after their reopening experiment, you might need a bigger graph.

A couple more mutations (due to spread from "reopening") and we'll be in the measeles territory

[SueEllen]

It looks like they drew it with their child's coloured crayons.

Yellow, green and orange are missing....

[d000hg]

Given the estimated R rate of 6 in the Netherlands after their reopening experiment, you might need a bigger graph.

How many Dutch had antibodies?

[mattster]

Given the estimated R rate of 6 in the Netherlands after their reopening experiment, you might need a bigger graph.

[d000hg]

It looks like they drew it with their child's coloured crayons.

[AtW]

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...rime-minister/

Sane article, for a change, for ToryScumGraph

[d000hg]

One of the press questions in this evening's briefing mentioned "government models predicting 100-200 daily deaths at the peak" and I don't think this was challenged. So that's a level that is deemed acceptable, we can infer.

[AtW]

"Boris Johnson urges Covid caution amid warnings of 1,000 hospitalisations a day

PM recommends mask use and gradual return to workplaces as Sage models highlight potential pressures on NHS"

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...isations-a-day

1000 per day will be within a week and this is virus still going through young age groups.

[SueEllen]

They're really suggesting up to 1 in 5 could have serious long-term effects?

It depends what the long term effects are.

If 25% of them have immune system or major organ issues like heart problems like Dr Xand* then it's a problem.

However of 90% just can't smell it isn't.

*Dr Xand children's tv presenter who is an identical twin doctor. He has heart issues from Covid. Did a documentary on his Covid issues where his heart had to jumped back into normal rhythm.

[SueEllen]

How so? They're ahead in the polls now, by quite some margin, as hard as that is to believe. Until we get a real opposition, we're stuck with them.

That's not how people vote in this country.

Only when the majority are fed up of the government does it change colour.