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I suggest you look at the trend lines of one of the various Poll of Polls analyses. While Labour is going up, so are the Tories, rather more steeply, and both are doing so at the expense of the minor parties. The gap between the lowest Tory poll and the highest Labour one is still around 7%. More importantly (according to the pollsters, so treat that with a large dose of scepticism) the Tories are above the 43% they need to get a majority.
I still believe we're looking at a small Tory majority at the end of the day, hopefully enough to kill off SNP's fantasies of being the kingmakers. But as we saw last time, nothing is known until the results are known
I suggest you look at the trend lines of one of the various Poll of Polls analyses. While Labour is going up, so are the Tories, rather more steeply, and both are doing so at the expense of the minor parties. The gap between the lowest Tory poll and the highest Labour one is still around 7%. More importantly (according to the pollsters, so treat that with a large dose of scepticism) the Tories are above the 43% they need to get a majority.
I still believe we're looking at a small Tory majority at the end of the day, hopefully enough to kill off SNP's fantasies of being the kingmakers. But as we saw last time, nothing is known until the results are known
If you compare the results from the pollsters comparing like with like i.e. the same organisation polling around 2 weeks ago with their results now, most of them say the same thing, Labour are closing the gap. The don't knows are coming off the fence.
If you compare the results from the pollsters comparing like with like i.e. the same organisation polling around 2 weeks ago with their results now, most of them say the same thing, Labour are closing the gap. The don't knows are coming off the fence.
Tories are consistently > 40%. Unless some very odd things happen repeatedly at a local level, they get a majority.
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