Originally posted by jamesbrown
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Brexit looming
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There was some vaguely interesting analysis about this on Newsnight tonight. I say vaguely in the sense that it was pretty boring, so I'm going to share the pain. You can find a corruption of it here, although I'm pleased to see some headless chickenry just across the way.
Anyhoo, according to these trusted experts who are invariably correct more often than a coin toss, but within the margin of tossing error, they reckon the phone polls are somewhat, perhaps 2/3rds of the gap, closer to reality (on the plus side, they generally don't present an "undecided" option, and undecideds tend to swing towards the quo, and they also tend to better represent demographics), but not all the way there, because phone polls tend to be too liberal (just like the GE, right? Right). Given a ~10 point lead in recent phone polls (perhaps 6% after adjusting for the above analysis) and factoring perhaps a 5% OAP turnout swing to Brexit, it's pretty close. In summary, therefore, we're none the wiser, but somewhat poorer, thanks to the BBC license fee.Comment
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Bookies have 'stay' at 2/5. It won't even be close.Guy Fawkes - "The last man to enter Parliament with honourable intentions."Comment
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Revealed: 1.6 million migrants moved to Britain from EU in nine years - Telegraph
And this has no effect on national security, the NHS, price of a home for your children, wages, transport, schools, benefits payments or crime.Britain must leave Europe to regain control of its borders and improve national security, a justice minister is warning, after it emerged that more than 1.6 million migrants moved to the UK from within the EU in nine years.
The figure, released by the UK Statistics Authority, means an average of 500 people every day moved to the country between 2006 and 2014.
Not according to the "flabby Liberal" latte drinkers, no.
Brexit!Comment
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1.6m over nine years
No chance it's been 350k + per year at least.
Drive around London and count the polski sklep shops.Comment
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And what is the official ratio between immigrants and such shops?Originally posted by unemployed View Post1.6m over nine years
No chance it's been 350k + per year at least.
Drive around London and count the polski sklep shops.Originally posted by MaryPoppinsI'd still not breastfeed a naziOriginally posted by vetranUrine is quite nourishingComment
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Unfortunately at those odds, that'll still be like printing money.Originally posted by Alf W View PostBookies have 'stay' at 2/5. It won't even be close.The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world that he didn't existComment
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Of which around 180k per year is for university studies according to the ONS.Originally posted by unemployed View Post1.6m over nine years
No chance it's been 350k + per year at least.
Drive around London and count the polski sklep shops.Comment
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yes those really long whole life coursesOriginally posted by m0n1k3r View PostOf which around 180k per year is for university studies according to the ONS.Comment
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And over 2M Brits who live in the EU will have to return after Brexit if they don't get work permits, pensions and healthcareComment
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Sad lot, statisticians.
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