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It's still deluded to think the UK will vote to leave though.
But still leading. 7% is nearly as big a gap as the Scotland referendum result...
Deluded is too strong. Things are often OBE. I agree it's unlikely (I've already put my money where my mouth is), but increasingly likely. There's no strong evidence to believe that the phone polls are more accurate (there is evidence both ways). Perhaps more importantly, these polls are generally not weighted for voter turnout. For those polls that have been weighted by turnout among different classes of voter, there's typically a 5+ point shift in the direction of Leave. Whether Leave can win largely comes down to whether Remain can motivate their (typically younger) voters to turn out.
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