• Visitors can check out the Forum FAQ by clicking this link. You have to register before you can post: click the REGISTER link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. View our Forum Privacy Policy.
  • Want to receive the latest contracting news and advice straight to your inbox? Sign up to the ContractorUK newsletter here. Every sign up will also be entered into a draw to WIN £100 Amazon vouchers!

August 2014 Warmest on record, globally

Collapse
X
  •  
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

    #41
    Originally posted by EternalOptimist View Post
    you have to understand what he is doing here.
    when the sea ice extent was cooperating with the models, it was the most important measurement ever.
    Now it's not cooperating, he switches to ice volume.

    just more confirmation bias
    Are you subject to confirmation bias?

    Comment


      #42
      Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
      Are you subject to confirmation bias?
      If I had a hypothesis that I was strongly emotionally attached to, I would watch out for it, certainly. I am sure you would too
      (\__/)
      (>'.'<)
      ("")("") Born to Drink. Forced to Work

      Comment


        #43
        Originally posted by EternalOptimist View Post
        If I had a hypothesis that I was strongly emotionally attached to, I would watch out for it, certainly. I am sure you would too
        You seem to be emotionally attached to the hypothesis that AGW is incorrect. You even add the emotionally charged C for catastrophic to make CAGW?

        So do you think that things you say on 'C'AGW are influenced by confirmation bias?

        http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/CAGW

        CAGW, for "catastrophic anthropogenic global warming," is a snarl word (or snarl acronym) that global warming denialists use for the established science of climate change. A Google Scholar search indicates that the term is never used in the scientific literature on climate.[1]
        It's not clear just when or how the denialists adopted CAGW over from the acronym AGW (anthropogenic global warming) used by normal folk. The term was used in blog comments at the New York Times[2] and ScienceBlogs as early as 2008,[3] and is likely to have been used earlier. By around 2011 CAGW had become commonplace in denialist blogs such as those of Anthony Watts or Judith Curry, and over the next year or two essentially replaced AGW in such esteemed venues. Despite the qualifier, denialists apply the term indiscriminately to anything approximating the mainstream scientific view on climate, regardless of whether or not "catastrophic" outcomes are implied.
        As for motivation, it's an attempt to move the goalposts. Denialists realized they had lost the argument over plain old "anthropogenic global warming" — the basic physics of the problem have been known since the 19th century,[4] so that rejecting AGW outright paints oneself as a loon. Adding "catastrophic" gives plenty of wiggle room for denialism.[5] Sea level rises a foot? Just a few Pacific Islanders getting flooded out; no catastrophe. Sea level rises a few more feet? The Philippines get flooded out and we lose coastal cities like London and New York. But with a few trillion dollars we can move them inland; no catastrophe. And so on.
        Last edited by Old Greg; 23 September 2014, 10:19.

        Comment


          #44
          Originally posted by BlasterBates View Post
          Global temps to August 2014

          Still flatlining
          Global Temperature: the Post-1998 Surprise | Open Mind
          My subconscious is annoying. It's got a mind of its own.

          Comment


            #45
            Is all of this info from one of those books which you haven't read?

            Comment


              #46
              Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
              You seem to be emotionally attached to the hypothesis that AGW is incorrect. You even add the emotionally charged C for catastrophic to make CAGW?

              So do you think that things you say on 'C'AGW are influenced by confirmation bias?
              I dont think you understand how the scientific process works. Someone proposes a hypothesis, they try to work it up into a theory. They make predictions. The onus is upon them to prove their case, usually by experiment and observation. Falsifying a hypothesis is not a hypothesis itself.

              pj claiming that increased antarctic sea ice is 'a puzzle'. I claim that it falsifies a lot of the hypothesis
              (\__/)
              (>'.'<)
              ("")("") Born to Drink. Forced to Work

              Comment


                #47
                Originally posted by EternalOptimist View Post
                I dont think you understand how the scientific process works. Someone proposes a hypothesis, they try to work it up into a theory. They make predictions. The onus is upon them to prove their case, usually by experiment and observation. Falsifying a hypothesis is not a hypothesis itself.

                pj claiming that increased antarctic sea ice is 'a puzzle'. I claim that it falsifies a lot of the hypothesis

                So why do you use the word 'catastrophic'?

                Comment


                  #48
                  Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
                  So why do you use the word 'catastrophic'?
                  Harold Camping was a catastrophist. Chicken Licken as well.
                  Anyone who predicts that London and New York will be under water is predicting a catastrophe.
                  arn't they ?
                  (\__/)
                  (>'.'<)
                  ("")("") Born to Drink. Forced to Work

                  Comment


                    #49
                    Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
                    Dodgy, have you just discovered that there are such things as facts?
                    I am a bit slower than the rest of you. Just like a prop I knew who when penalised for a late tackle said "I got there as soon as I could ref"
                    Let us not forget EU open doors immigration benefits IT contractors more than anyone

                    Comment


                      #50
                      Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
                      You seem to be emotionally attached to the hypothesis that AGW is incorrect. You even add the emotionally charged C for catastrophic to make CAGW?

                      So do you think that things you say on 'C'AGW are influenced by confirmation bias?
                      One of the more stupid debating tricks of the “skeptics” is to oscillate between Ha ha, you believe in Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming which is obviously not happening so you’re very silly, and when told that CAGW is a strawman that they’ve invented they switch to if it isn’t catastrophic we’ve got nothing to worry about, have we?

                      To which the answer is always some variant of if you can’t imagine anything between “catastrophic” and “nothing to worry about” then you’re not thinking. But I’ve got bored of saying it, so I thought I’d write it down and link to it instead.
                      If it isn’t catastrophic we’ve got nothing to worry about, have we? – Stoat
                      My subconscious is annoying. It's got a mind of its own.

                      Comment

                      Working...
                      X