FTSE 100 crash soon.

[AtW]

Gold now somewhere near cost of production so should be a good buy.

In Kapitalism that just means that children of the miners will have to eat less...

[xoggoth]

This is good timing as I've just inherited £52k. Any brill. CUK ideas what to do with it?

Maybe vodka and massage parlours is the best option.

[Jog On]

Watch the S&P/Dow to see where the FTSE is going.

Our fundamentals aren't that relevant on their own, US and China are the ones to watch.

[jamesbrown]

Too soon for a crash, it'll be another 2 or 3 years, no excesses yet!! China is just a pullback, first of all we need to go through a commodities recovery, once oil prices are hitting 120, and interest rates are up, then the crash will come.

You might be right about the timeframe, who knows. I don't think you're right about commodities though, as there's a supply glut and a demand vacuum and neither of those things are likely to pass soon. If China continues to meddle (one of several possible triggers), and they will of course, a crash could be precipitated much sooner than 2-3 years. Also, UK banks have enormous exposure to China (one of the highest exposures of any country in the world), putting aside HSBC and StanChart.

[PurpleGorilla]

Too soon for a crash, it'll be another 2 or 3 years, no excesses yet!! China is just a pullback, first of all we need to go through a commodities recovery, once oil prices are hitting 120, and interest rates are up, then the crash will come.

Oil is heading lower - maybe $40 a barrel.

Commodities are falling.

There are no more bricks for the pyramid.

That's the crash. 2017 feels right.

[BlasterBates]

Too soon for a crash, it'll be another 2 or 3 years, no excesses yet!! China is just a pullback, first of all we need to go through a commodities recovery, once oil prices are hitting 120, and interest rates are up, then the crash will come.

[BrilloPad]

So are you buying any put options? Or selling FTSE on spread betting?

[Doggy Styles]

Maybe rise in interest rates and bond market / property crash as well. Possible Euro problems.

Could get very nasty. My guess is late September / early October.

Gold now somewhere near cost of production so should be a good buy.

Good job Gordon Brown sold off those gold reserves when he did, or we'd be worried about that as well.

[motoukenin]

Yes I'm feeling that there will be yet another dip in our dodecahedral dip recession

[eek]

Maybe rise in interest rates and bond market / property crash as well.

Could get very nasty.

Gold and Silver very cheap at moment.

not going to see a rise in interest rates...

[DodgyAccountant]

Maybe rise in interest rates and bond market / property crash as well. Possible Euro problems.

Could get very nasty. My guess is late September / early October.

Gold now somewhere near cost of production so should be a good buy.

[DimPrawn]

Caused by China, Oil prices, global conflicts, recent exuberance, etc.

[DimPrawn]

I can feel it in me water.

Maybe 50% drop from 2015 highs. Probably a good buying opportunity soon.