Reply to: State of the Market

[SchumiStars]

I have no idea how the stock markets work. In fact, I don't know how anything works tbh. I just want to write application code and do some sports.

Anyway, think I am giving up for any hopes of a recovery soon. I might try setting up an only fans account, perhaps someone will pay for my used y-fronts.

[dsc]

Depends which stock market or markets you are referring to. The UK FTSE100 index is up a mere 16% over 5% and a pathetic 24% over 10 years. The FTSE All Share index is practically the same.

Even in the USA, the index gains have been driven by about 10-20 stocks, mostly the so called Magnificent 7 tech stocks.

The stock market often reflects the anticipation of future profits growth, not current growth. There's no guarantee the huge increase in share prices in the US will be mirrored by amazing GDP growth either.

Yeah US stock market seems to be pushed by the big 5 / 7, but still, normally stock market growth and economy go hand it hand to a larger extent and I do realise it's anticipated growth, but with GDP growth predicted to be tulipe, how are the big 5/7 supposed to grow so rapidly anyway? We can clearly see now with economies doing meh and the cost of borrowing being high, no one wants to invest / spend money, so where the hell is growth supposed to come from? sacking whole depts and hoping for a better tomorrow?

[sadkingbilly]

Kier Starmer thats who: he was promising the UK would have the fastest growth rate of the G7

Keir Starmer 'is forced to abandon growth targets after disastrous Budget'

and? - you believe politicians? and the daily mail?
oh dear.

[edison]

What makes absolutely no sense is that with all this tech world tulipe + low GDP growth pretty much anywhere, the stock market has seen some crazy % growth, 20% last year and over 80% across the last 5 yrs. How is any of this tulipe possible? how can it be so great yet so bad at the same time?

Depends which stock market or markets you are referring to. The UK FTSE100 index is up a mere 16% over 5% and a pathetic 24% over 10 years. The FTSE All Share index is practically the same.

Even in the USA, the index gains have been driven by about 10-20 stocks, mostly the so called Magnificent 7 tech stocks.

The stock market often reflects the anticipation of future profits growth, not current growth. There's no guarantee the huge increase in share prices in the US will be mirrored by amazing GDP growth either.

[dsc]

What makes absolutely no sense is that with all this tech world tulipe + low GDP growth pretty much anywhere, the stock market has seen some crazy % growth, 20% last year and over 80% across the last 5 yrs. How is any of this tulipe possible? how can it be so great yet so bad at the same time?

[SchumiStars]

Anyone done a PGCE? Thinking about becoming a teacher.

[Fraidycat]

I don't think the permanent market is much better at the moment so it isn't contractor specific.

Yes, I think the contractor and perm markets are now highly correlated. And most contractor positions are now only slightly higher cost than hiring a permie over the short run. Contractor rates have not kept up with inflation over the last 25 years.

[SussexSeagull]

There is no recovery. If there is, 5yrs min.

Clearly companies have worked out, there are massive savings in IT but cutting the contractors out and they are surviving, perhaps even growing in this market.

Why would they reach the phone and increase their base costs, when they have waited for so long they can hire a permi, if they are that desperate.

The gravey train is over I suspect.

I don't think the permanent market is much better at the moment so it isn't contractor specific.

I haven't worked on a large (more than 10 testers) project in about 8 years. That ship has sailed to the consultancies. Up until now the economies of scale of getting in a consultancy haven't always been worth it for anything smaller than that. Has that changed?

[coolhandluke]

All I'm seeing is contractors being replace by tulip consultancies who provide the cheapest resource they can.

[SchumiStars]

There is no recovery. If there is, 5yrs min.

Clearly companies have worked out, there are massive savings in IT but cutting the contractors out and they are surviving, perhaps even growing in this market.

Why would they reach the phone and increase their base costs, when they have waited for so long they can hire a permi, if they are that desperate.

The gravey train is over I suspect.

[Fraidycat]

what expected recovery?
expected by who, exactly?

Kier Starmer thats who: he was promising the UK would have the fastest growth rate of the G7

Keir Starmer 'is forced to abandon growth targets after disastrous Budget'

[sadkingbilly]

I just hear a list of events that will apparently need to happen before a recovery starts that happen then a recovery doesn't start.

I am not sure Labour winning a GE then producing a budget that didn't go down well with some in business or a Trump win should have been that surprising to anyone.

sorry i was asking the prophet of doom the question

[Cookielove]

It really gets my goat!! lazy agents don't want to put in any work...they want the candidates to do their job for them...perm role job you submit your CV, then they want a one pager covering letter highlighting a match with your skills to the job....surely that is what the CV is showing your skills...so that is a duplicate a covering letter spelling it out....then they want a document uploaded as to why you are interested in this role! This is so outdated....i'm applying = I need the money/a job...

LinkedIn is a pile of tulip! no meaningful jobs/searches and just more sob stories by the day....

[SussexSeagull]

what expected recovery?
expected by who, exactly?

I just hear a list of events that will apparently need to happen before a recovery starts that happen then a recovery doesn't start.

I am not sure Labour winning a GE then producing a budget that didn't go down well with some in business or a Trump win should have been that surprising to anyone.

[SussexSeagull]

That's what they said about coal, steel, ships, etc. etc.

Our lack of energy independence has caused problems in the last few years due to energy bills rising. Putin has used gas supplies as a weapon previously. As for the other two we won't know until we ever reach a point that we could have down with still having a steel or ship industry.