Is it ever going to get less cold?

[Malcolm Buggeridge]

BS, it is rising exactly as projected by the models.



and



Dessler et al 2008,

updated in 2013:- http://geotest.tamu.edu/userfiles/216/dessler2013.pdf

The Hockey stick temperature graph (claiming 'exceptional' world temperatures now compared with the last few thousand years) is a fraud and 'improvements' on it promoted by the IPCC and members of the Climate Crisis industry are also fraud - with lipstick.

Piers Corbyn, Astrophysicist, WeatherAction

[EternalOptimist]

Still can't entirely decide, as there are so many variables.

I mean for example, more water vapour can lead to more or deeper snow that hangs around for longer and increases albedo, which might offset the greenhouse effect of the vapour.

But climate change scoffers should bear in mind that some past episodes of global warming have started, paradoxically, with the Northern Hemisphere getting colder for a while until the extra heat of the Southern Hemisphere spreads.

that's true. but the current theory is that the water vapour will lead to more water vapour until there is a runaway feedback that causes the oceans to boil.
But, as you say, we have had warming before and this did not happen. If their theory was valid, we would not be here to be discussing it.

[BlasterBates]

AMSU-A Temperatures Trends from NASA's Aqua

Now that´s what I call climate change.....

[BlasterBates]

UK big freeze to continue

[pjclarke]

WeatherAction, yeah ...

At the end of 2007, WeatherAction predicted that temperatures in January could plummet to -17 °C in the Midlands, and that the average temperature for January would be close to freezing. This prediction was dismissed by the Met Office in a Guardian article on 2 January.[21] After the January prediction proved false, Mr. Corbyn blamed the incorrect forecast on an undefined 'procedural error,' but insisted that the second half of the month, specifically the period of 21–27 January, would be very cold, stating on his website:

""The period and forecast maps for the very cold ‘dipole’ patterns 15-21st Jan will probably be shifted later to 21st- 23rd Jan. Some exceptionally strong blizzard conditiuons (sic) and very strong cold winds are likely in this period. An ongoing similar situation with widespread heavy snow, strong winds and blizzards will continue 24th- 27th Jan."[22]

The period 21–23 January continued very mild for the country as a whole, but with a brief colder interlude for Scotland and the far north of England, with some snow in the Highland and Pennine Mountain regions, not out of the ordinary for January.[23] The Met Office run Hadley Observation Centre had the CET from the 1–22 January running at 6.4 °C, or 2.8 °C above normal for the time of year. This made it highly unlikely that Corbyn's very cold January forecast would come to fruition.

The final CET for January 2008 ended up over 3 °C above the standard reference average making the predictions for a cold Jan very poor. In fact it ended up being one of the warmest Januarys since records began.

Why would anyone take what this peddler of meteorological horoscopes says seriously?

[eek]

WeatherAction, yeah ...



Why would anyone take what this peddler of meteorological horoscopes says seriously?

Someone who knew about the snow last week in Mid Feb?

[BlasterBates]

another prediction that isn´t working out

[pjclarke]

Corbyn also forecast the COLDEST MAY IN 100 YEARS last year

Coldest May for 100 years as winter roars back | UK | News | Daily Express

it turned out decidedly average. Make enough predictions, in intentionally vague language, highlight your successes, quietly forgot your failures, refuse to divulge your methods and you too can sell weather forecasts to gullible farmers and businessmen.

Texas sharpshooter fallacy - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

[NorthWestPerm2Contr]

Weather forecasts beyond 3 days are unreliable, let alone 3 weeks or more. Hell sometimes they get it wrong for the next day.

Anybody who things they can accurately predict the weather in 1 month's time is a blatant liar.

[pjclarke]

Another prediction

With an El Niño on the way, 2013 could be the warmest year on record. But the climate-denial machine will keep on churning

Nice piece: If 2013 breaks heat record, how will deniers respond? - environment - 03 September 2012 - New Scientist