Anyone watch the Derren Brown Casino Event?

[Tingles]

It was a theatrical set piece.

Funny how the signal interference cleared as soon has he got to the table.

Hogwash and hooey!

[TimberWolf]

I believe that using a computer allows the ball drop to be predicted to a segment of the wheel.

No, they just push the odds in your favour. Enough for casinos to be worried and to make you money, but not good enough to expect a ball to end up in a predicted slot, or next to it. And in your head? No way. I say this with little knowledge of the success of these devices, but knowledge of how difficult it would be to do. Just timing the ball as it passes, say the zero slot, isn't enough information to predict with. For example the angle of the ball would make a big difference to where it ends up. It also jumps about pretty unpredictably when it his those bumps. It can only be a statistical advantage.

[Addanc]

No, they just push the odds in your favour. Enough for casinos to be worried and to make you money, but not good enough to expect a ball to end up in a predicted slot, or next to it. And in your head? No way. I say this with little knowledge of the success of these devices, but knowledge of how difficult it would be to do. Just timing the ball as it passes, say the zero slot, isn't enough information to predict with. For example the angle of the ball would make a big difference to where it ends up. It also jumps about pretty unpredictably when it his those bumps. It can only be a statistical advantage.

I said a segment, i.e. a group of adjacent slots. Not sure how wide the segment needs to be for a 90% plus accuracy.

[TimberWolf]

I said a segment, i.e. a group of adjacent slots. Not sure how wide the segment needs to be for a 90% plus accuracy.

Well doing nothing at all gives you a one in four chance of predicting the right quadrant. Timing the balls would provide a significant statistical advantage on that large scale, but getting close means you still lose. Brown's nonsense was about getting the right slot first time, as far as I understand.

[Addanc]

Agreed, Darren Brown's attempt was nonsense. The groups who have attempted to beat the casino wheel with computer tech spread the bets across the predicted group of numbers.

[BrilloPad]

Agreed, Darren Brown's attempt was nonsense. The groups who have attempted to beat the casino wheel with computer tech spread the bets across the predicted group of numbers.

Doesn't your agrument actally support Darren Brown?

[Addanc]

Doesn't your agrument actally support Darren Brown?

No, he tried to predict an individual number.

[BrilloPad]

No, he tried to predict an individual number.

But he got only 1 number away. Personally I call that a great success.

Though if it had been my £5k I would have used the word failure!