Swineflu deaths almost treble in a week

[Cyberman]

To even think about this problem, it is necessary to ignore the number of infections to the size of the population and the proportion of that population that is not infected. It is also necessary to ignore the initial health of the infected people, and the cause of death. There are a great many other assumptions which also negate the validity of this exercise as a means of predicting the future. However...
You have some rounding errors. The number series 4, 11, 29 is 18/7x + 5/7. Your final week should be 957,351.

Also, that is deaths per week. Presumably you wanted "total deaths to date". That would have been more impressive. 1,566,566 by the final week, as per above.

Have you determined how many weeks it will take to kill the entire population of the planet?

My figures are based on a weekly multiplication of 2.6 and are thus actual deaths to date, and not deaths per week.

[OwlHoot]

The death rate was 4 two weeks ago, then 11 last week and now 29. I see a pattern emerging.


4
11
29

then my guestimates at that rate:
next week : 75
the following week: 196
week after that: 509
week after that: 1325
week after that: 3445
week after that: 8958
week after that: 23,292
week after that: 60,559
week after that: 157,455
week after that: 409,384
week after that: 1,064,399

so within three months we could see over a million deaths in Brazil. Normal flu ?

What are the figures for infections?

[Moscow Mule]

My figures are based on the random wonderings of a dozy old codger

Fixed that for you.

[Cyberman]

What are the figures for infections?

Incalculable really, but must run into approx 100,000 in Brazil, bearing in mind that we have 100,000 in the UK with almost exactly the same amount of deaths.

[cailin maith]

Active, retired and "Have you ever seen somebody lick the chutney spoon in an Indian Restaurant and put it back?" flexible!

Not sure my Granny would eat curry anyway - she was old school, if it didn't contain spuds - it was the work of the devil!

[Cyberman]

Fixed that for you.

Twat !!

[d000hg]

Not sure my Granny would eat curry anyway - she was old school, if it didn't contain spuds - it was the work of the devil!

Nowt wrong with 'taters in curry. Very cheap too!

[cailin maith]

Nowt wrong with 'taters in curry. Very cheap too!

Ackbars in Manchester - they do a Chicken & Potato Balti.... yummmmmmmm!!!!

[The Lone Gunman]

Ackbars in Manchester - they do a Chicken & Potato Balti.... yummmmmmmm!!!!

Aloo gobi and bombay potatoes mmmmmm

[cailin maith]

Aloo gobi and bombay potatoes mmmmmm

Feck.... I'm hungry now!!