335 in hospital

[Moscow Mule]

MM, I think you might just be feeding a troll.

:shame:

[Bunk]

:shame:

Actually, this is the first time that I've thought that Cybertory isn't a troll, he's just really stupid.

[Cyberman]

You've just made a massive assumption, and assumed it as fact.

Are you on a wind-up? Could anybody really think that? Anybody?

That is obviously a worse case scenario. I was just emphasising the error in assuming that it would take 600 days to infect the whole population.
My guess would be that the whole population would have been infected by the end of the year, at a time when hospitals will be under a lot of pressure anyway due to normal winter ailments. It seems to me that we are sleepwalking to disaster.

[Moscow Mule]

That is obviously a worse case scenario. I was just emphasising the error in assuming that it would take 600 days to infect the whole population.
My guess would be that the whole population would have been infected by the end of the year, at a time when hospitals will be under a lot of pressure anyway due to normal winter ailments. It seems to me that we are sleepwalking to disaster.

It's not Ebola.

[BrilloPad]

Actually, this is the first time that I've thought that Cybertory isn't a troll, he's just really stupid.

It was his thread the other day about that far-right march in Birmingham that convinced me he is particularly stupid. The stupid bit apparent for a long time.

[RichardCranium]

Actually, this is the first time that I've thought that Cybertory isn't a troll, he's just really stupid.

I know, but his arguments today are so incredibly poor that I think he's on a mission to wind us all up.

I know he is not as stupid as he is making out. Even he knows infection %ages and rates and spread doesn't work like that.

I was going to whizz off and get the research to explain to him what will happen - it's well documented and out there. It was that that made me realise he is just having us on.

[RichardCranium]

It was his thread the other day about that far-right march in Birmingham that convinced me he is particularly stupid. The stupid bit apparent for a long time.

And I felt such a fool doing the searching to find the far-right web sites that promoted said 'march' and then posting the links. If such a small wandering band can be called a 'march'. It seems it was more of a family day out.

I've been kicking myself for falling for it ever since.

[Cyberman]

If 8% if the population have asthma and 1/5 will die of swine flu then surely that makes it a minimum death rate of 2%? You said last week that 45,000 people in the UK had been infected so there should have been 900 deaths.

The amount of cock you talk is astounding.

Asthma is just one of the underlying factors that give people susceptibility to swineflu death. There are many others and if we estimate 2% for each of those we could rapidly reach 10% of the population, which would be at least 5 million. So, if we take a more conservative estimate, I think we could easily see a million deaths.

[DimPrawn]

Asthma is just one of the underlying factors that give people susceptibility to swineflu death. There are many others and if we estimate 2% for each of those we could rapidly reach 10% of the population, which would be at least 5 million. So, if we take a more conservative estimate, I think we could easily see a million deaths.

I blame Thatcher.

[Cyberman]

I blame Thatcher.

At least conservative estimates are more likely to have an element of truth to them than labour estimates.