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stock market crash

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    #id
    clucking bell
    "Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark Twain

    Comment


      #id
      Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
      Think I need to find the investment banker forum...
      Why? General is full of bankers

      Comment


        #id
        Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
        Think I need to find the investment banker forum...
        Bye

        Close the door on the way out
        I am what I drink, and I'm a bitter man

        Comment


          #id
          Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
          Think I need to find the investment banker forum...
          I guess they must also enjoy mocking cretins.

          Comment


            #id
            Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
            That's right, my leverage short is about 5% or $xxxk, now.. it was $xxk yesterday
            5% is a reasonable position size.

            Although, how can the 3x short have gone up 10-fold when BTC isn't much lower than it was on the 25th June when you opened the position?

            Bitcoincharts | Charts
            Scoots still says that Apr 2020 didn't mark the start of a new stock bull market.

            Comment


              #id
              Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
              ha ha - no, there's no 'I think' full stop. Everything is in probability. I measure probability and trade that. My postgrad and career to date were all about measuring probability. I've just changed what I'm adding up.

              Since my course I've yet to enter a trade that resulted in a loss. I know it sounds crazy, but it's the truth. Here's is a chart where I measured the probability most recently of further downside back in April. It is public record, I cannot change it, remove it. At this moment I'm up almost 350%

              I'll be adding this one to my list soon, my best yet, I think..omg I used that word!
              Words fail me. Your ego is refusing you let you believe you are not infallible.

              But, it looks like you've not long graduated (unless you've not had a loss for decades since your "course") so immaturity, naivety and that sometimes dangerous youthful sense of invincibility are probably in the mix too.

              You still haven't answered the core question: why stay invested in stocks if your "probability" indicates that you'd get better returns elsewhere? And if you "probability" doesn't not tell you that, why aren't you averaging-down in those stocks rather than invest elsewhere?
              Last edited by Paralytic; 30 June 2020, 06:55.

              Comment


                #id
                If you only ever sell winners, and hold on to losers...

                ...eventually you'll end up with a portfolio of losers.
                Scoots still says that Apr 2020 didn't mark the start of a new stock bull market.

                Comment


                  #id
                  Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post
                  If you only ever sell winners, and hold on to losers...

                  ...eventually you'll end up with a portfolio of losers.
                  They won't be losers if he doesn't sell them. Apparently.

                  Comment


                    #id
                    Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
                    They won't be losers if he doesn't sell them. Apparently.
                    They're 'long term investments' in junk.
                    Make Mercia Great Again!

                    Comment


                      #id
                      Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post
                      5% is a reasonable position size.

                      Although, how can the 3x short have gone up 10-fold when BTC isn't much lower than it was on the 25th June when you opened the position?

                      Bitcoincharts | Charts

                      10 fold?
                      "Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark Twain

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