Originally posted by BlueSharp
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stock market crash
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I'm alright Jack -
Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View PostHow is that even possible ??
Or that someone, somewhere, is propping up the market until the big players can get out.
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Former member of IPSE.
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Many a mickle makes a muckle.
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This pandemic thing is just a storm in a teacup.
At least that's how the markets are currently pricing it...Scoots still says that Apr 2020 didn't mark the start of a new stock bull market.Comment
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Remember what happens after a bull trap. If the bull trap is confirmed, then we'll have capitulation. This will be a total bloodbath.
"Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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Originally posted by scooterscot View PostRemember what happens after a bull trap. If the bull trap is confirmed, then we'll have capitulation. This will be a total bloodbath.Comment
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This isn't a new paradigm scenario, unless you count 'the Fed will ensure no crash' is in fact it. So it's not a normal bubble crash.Comment
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The major economies are predicted to contract roughly 5-7% in 2020. That's what you need to use for your valuations.
The fact is though there will be sectors like travel which will be hit much harder than other sectors, such as toilet paper for example.I'm alright JackComment
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Originally posted by rootsnall View PostThis isn't a new paradigm scenario, unless you count 'the Fed will ensure no crash' is in fact it. So it's not a normal bubble crash.Scoots still says that Apr 2020 didn't mark the start of a new stock bull market.Comment
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Originally posted by BlasterBates View PostThe major economies are predicted to contract roughly 5-7% in 2020. That's what you need to use for your valuations.
The fact is though there will be sectors like travel which will be hit much harder than other sectors, such as toilet paper for example.
But what you need to consider is a lot of the bad news in terms of bad debt and defaults hasn't quite yet filtered through to quarterly results.
E.g. Barclays profit drops as bad debts surge in crisis | Sharecast.com
Banks to reveal significant increase in bad debt provisions
Deutsche Bank swings to net loss as bad debts surge | Sharecast.com
It is true the magic money tree will prop this up, but for how much longer?
Don't get me wrong, the winning trades now are almost all bullish, but consider when the music stops and the party ends, will you have taken your profits off the table?Comment
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Originally posted by DimPrawn View PostIf you are correct, then this pandemic is just a storm in teacup and we will all be back to normal soon.
But what you need to consider is a lot of the bad news in terms of bad debt and defaults hasn't quite yet filtered through to quarterly results.
E.g. Barclays profit drops as bad debts surge in crisis | Sharecast.com
Banks to reveal significant increase in bad debt provisions
Deutsche Bank swings to net loss as bad debts surge | Sharecast.com
It is true the magic money tree will prop this up, but for how much longer?
Don't get me wrong, the winning trades now are almost all bullish, but consider when the music stops and the party ends, will you have taken your profits off the table?
Their share price reflects the drop in profit, i.e. profit 40% down, share price 50% down.I'm alright JackComment
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