Today's yougov poll

[chopper]

One polled over the past couple of days using their conventional method rather than the one predicting a hung parliament, puts the Tory lead over Labour down to 3 points

CON: 42% (-1)
LAB: 39% (+3)
LDEM: 7% (-2)
UKIP: 4% (-)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/31...our-39-30-31-/

Polled after the Paxman interview, but before tonight's TV debate - I can only imagine May's no-show at the TV debate will bring that in a bit further.

Of course, this could be Yougov bluster, but chances are the 'huge majority' was always overstated. I still expect a Tory win, but no landslide. It is looking like May's gamble will not pay off.

Ladbrokes still have a Tory 'most seats' at 1/12 and a Tory majority at 1/5.

[AtW]

That's like £10k down the drain kind of poll...

[BlasterBates]

This is beginning to remind me of "10 green bottles sitting on the wall".

[BlasterBates]

So will May survive even if the Tories win?

Theresa May has squandered an apparently unassailable lead | The Independent

If they get a reduced majority, the knives will be out.

Boris ?

[SlipTheJab]

A slim Tory majority is the best outcome, a landslide would turn the Tories into UKIP on steroids, a Corbyn win would turn the UK into a basket case, checks and balances... effective government, effective opposition.

[vetran]

So will May survive even if the Tories win?

Theresa May has squandered an apparently unassailable lead | The Independent

If they get a reduced majority, the knives will be out.

Boris ?

No deity, No.

I reckon David Davis would have a go.

[chopper]

So will May survive even if the Tories win?

Theresa May has squandered an apparently unassailable lead | The Independent

If they get a reduced majority, the knives will be out.

Boris ?

In reality, the Tory share of the vote has held remarkably stable, the recent labour climb hasn't been at the expense of a corresponding Tory drop but rather a corresponding UKIP, Lib Dem and 'Other' drop.

I don't hold much weight in the 'shy Tory voter' this time around - is someone really going to prefer to say 'I vote Corbyn' before 'I vote May'? Nah.

However, a drastic swing to Labour in the 5 weeks since the local elections will only be devastating to May's leadership. She has been found out - she refuses to engage with the public and that looks like it is becoming a problem right when it matters.

[shaunbhoy]

I am personally hoping for a hung Parliament.

Seems like a possibility at least.

[PurpleGorilla]

Just filled in my postal vote.

After a great deal of consideration, I have voted Labour.