Originally posted by eek
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Reply to: Eurozone panic is over
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Previously on "Eurozone panic is over"
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Originally posted by Freamon View PostHe'll be gone in April though, surely?
Who knows with the French voter though.
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Originally posted by BrilloPad View PostYes - but it is very hard for a weak currency to leave the Euro. It is easier(though still hard) for a stronger currency to leave.
I still hope there will become a Northern Euro leaving the southerners to the current Euro. The Southern block should be led by France.
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Originally posted by eek View PostSo the one they will take is to keep going until Greece and Italy have no choice but to leave.
I still hope there will become a Northern Euro leaving the southerners to the current Euro. The Southern block should be led by France.
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Originally posted by BrilloPad View PostThere is no orderly solution. The least worst is for Germany and Northern block countries to leave the Euro. The second worst is to print Euros.
But I agree that the wrong decision will be made - not just on idealistic grounds but also because of what is acceptable to German voters.
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Originally posted by sasguru View PostFirstly, they're not doing QE in the standard sense. LTROs are not QE.
Secondly austerity will not work: how on earth are the PIIGs to recover if the medicine is killing the patient? 10 years ago they same medicine was tried in Argentina. It didn't work - they defaulted.
Lastly I hope an orderly solution is found to the Euro problem or the economic consequences could be dire - but I fear not because the Germans are doing what they've always done historically: making the wrong decision on idealistic grounds.
But I agree that the wrong decision will be made - not just on idealistic grounds but also because of what is acceptable to German voters.
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Originally posted by BlasterBates View PostEurosceptics are in a complete muddle, all they know is they don´t want the Euro to work, because.....well because it´s there.
Their argument has been consistent for more than 20 years - which is that the common currency won't work in the long run because the member states have such diverse economies, governments and fiscal policies.
And they are being proved right.
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Originally posted by BlasterBates View PostRather like the aspirin that Cameron proposes before he´ll forward the loans?
I like the way the argument switches, before the ECB did quantative easing; this was seen as the reason why the Euro was going to collapse, now they´re doing quantative easing, that´s not right either.
Could it be that the right solution is to get government spending down, and to use quantative easing to get over the cash flow problem?
Maybe...oh hang on, that´s what they´re doing.
Eurosceptics are in a complete muddle, all they know is they don´t want the Euro to work, because.....well because it´s there.
Secondly austerity will not work: how on earth are the PIIGs to recover if the medicine is killing the patient? 10 years ago they same medicine was tried in Argentina. It didn't work - they defaulted.
Lastly I hope an orderly solution is found to the Euro problem or the economic consequences could be dire - but I fear not because the Germans are doing what they've always done historically: making the wrong decision on idealistic grounds.
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Originally posted by sasguru View PostApparently resumed its downward march now. MArkets see that the loans are just an aspirin to deal with the pain, not a solution
I like the way the argument switches, before the ECB did quantative easing; this was seen as the reason why the Euro was going to collapse, now they´re doing quantative easing, that´s not right either.
Could it be that the right solution is to get government spending down, and to use quantative easing to get over the cash flow problem?
Maybe...oh hang on, that´s what they´re doing.
Eurosceptics are in a complete muddle, all they know is they don´t want the Euro to work, because.....well because it´s there.
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it ain't over till the fat italian banker sings
one of these countries in trouble is gonna go pop as sure as eggs is eggs
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The markets keep deciding the panic is over - then 2 weeks later change their mind.
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