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Previously on "DOOM: Covid-19: New variant 'raises R number by up to 0.7'"
From what I've read no one studied gaps that big, its possible a single dose works fine, but it also might not work at all. They are now also saying that the NHS might offer a different vaccine for the second jab which also makes very little sense and definitely wasn't done in trials. Remember this is rolled out on a huge chunk of the population, not a small controlled group of volunteers, so it's a pretty big experiment.
Anyways, the main point was that there's a pretty big risk with rolling out a vaccine in a middle of a raging pandemic, where R is off the scale. The biggest worry being of course the creation of a variant which is immune to the vaccine.
Biggest worry is a new drug (vaccine or therapy) initiating the zombie apocalypse.
The efficiency with Pzifer one is higher than 70% with one dose.
Even if it is only 70% the more elderly people you get vaccinated with one dose, the less elderly people need a hospital bed if they get Covid and die from Covid.
You can work out the figures yourself.
From what I've read no one studied gaps that big, its possible a single dose works fine, but it also might not work at all. They are now also saying that the NHS might offer a different vaccine for the second jab which also makes very little sense and definitely wasn't done in trials. Remember this is rolled out on a huge chunk of the population, not a small controlled group of volunteers, so it's a pretty big experiment.
Anyways, the main point was that there's a pretty big risk with rolling out a vaccine in a middle of a raging pandemic, where R is off the scale. The biggest worry being of course the creation of a variant which is immune to the vaccine.
If you roll out the vaccine with cases soaring and only offer the first shot which lowers the efficacy to 70%, you increase the chances of the virus mutating and in effect generate a variant immune to the vaccine.
The efficiency with Pzifer one is higher than 70% with one dose.
Even if it is only 70% the more elderly people you get vaccinated with one dose, the less elderly people need a hospital bed if they get Covid and die from Covid.
Maybe all the Christmas booze and turkey has dulled my wits, but it doesn't seem at all clear what the first comment there (by someone called Isabella Eckerle) is supposed to imply, or in other words what she is laboriously trying to say :
If you roll out the vaccine with cases soaring and only offer the first shot which lowers the efficacy to 70%, you increase the chances of the virus mutating and in effect generate a variant immune to the vaccine.
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