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Reply to: Grim predictions

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Previously on "Grim predictions"

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  • The Janter Effect
    replied
    Originally posted by Hobosapien View Post
    Those predictions, meh. Grimest prediction is this blows over too soon so the old game of debt driven consumer society continues with just a hickup.
    l
    Yes, I'd largely go along with that.

    Already a lot of the papers seem to be suggesting a relaxing of the lockdown in May and a return to the herd immunity approach. Bearing in mind that the press is often used as an organ to disseminate government information I don't think this should be dismissed lightly.

    Then, hopefully, business (almost) as usual by mid summer and the companies that have been helped by the furlough and other schemes can spring back into life.

    I guess the big downside to all this is going to be a return to austerity and a huge jacking up of taxes to pay for it all.

    Leave a comment:


  • Andy2
    replied
    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post

    20% reading this thread today - will be dead in 8 weeks time
    20% of me is already dead

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Originally posted by Hobosapien View Post
    Anything to stop Liverpool winning the premier league.
    Did Daragh create Corona Virus?

    Leave a comment:


  • Hobosapien
    replied
    Those predictions, meh. Grimest prediction is this blows over too soon so the old game of debt driven consumer society continues with just a hickup.

    It needs shooting in the head, double tap to be sure, and something more fitting modern civilsation putting in place that respects the environment and doesn't sell us and our children's futures down the river to places like China where profit matters more than humanitarian standards.

    If this virus kills enough idiots (those still mingling on the tube, or thinking they're immune to it as they're special, or religously brainwashed so they think prayer is enough to see them through) then perhaps the bar for human intelligence and therefore future prospects will raise sufficiently that the old game won't be allowed to restart.

    Anything to stop Liverpool winning the premier league.

    Leave a comment:


  • Whorty
    replied
    Let's break this down .....

    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    I’ve called a few thinks correct many weeks ago
    Can we have a link where you did this? Unfortunately, like a few other posters on here, you make loads of 'predictions', most of which are completely off the mark ... but you know, you make enough predictions, you're bound to get one right eventually

    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    Stock markets
    Firstly, what call did you make on stock markets? Secondly, even back in late Jan it was looking like the world was going to follow China, and hence close down big areas of countries. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see this would have an impact on stock markets. Stock markets like certainty ... there is little certainty with the world at the moment.

    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    end of contracting
    How are we seeing an end to contracting? What we're seeing is companies not able to trade in the current market and hence are reducing their cost base. Once the world gets back to normal, contracting (like other forms of employment) will pick up where it left off. Will contracting look like it did in 2019, no idea, but the biggest threat to the long term health of contracting is IR35 and not this virus.

    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    Let me make a few more
    Go on then .....

    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    20% reading this thread today - will be dead in 8 weeks time
    Let's assume 20 people could be @rsed to read this thread. You're seriously calling that 4 will be dead in 8 weeks? Even though you know that the virus is mostly only taking away the ill and old? Now, I know we have a few codgers on here, and a few with underlying illnesses, but first you have to have these people catch the virus, and then they have to succumb to it. Nah .... can't see this ... I think you've just been drinking too much and gone all morose.

    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    Boris will be close to resining at same point
    This means nothing and not something you can prove. You can prove, if it happens, that he has resigned. But you can't prove, unless you are in his personal circle, that he is close to resigning. Also 'at some point' is probably a given ... he won't be leader and PM for ever, so yes, at 'some point' he is more than likely to resign.

    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    Stock market down another 25%
    By when? A 25% further drop (assuming you mean 25% off the value today), would be a further 1400 knocked off the value leaving the FTSE at about 4100. Nah, not likely. Even with all the uncertainty we have today the market has only gone to 5500; to lose another 25% off that would take governments pulling their financial supports, large companies going to the wall and banks pulling finance. Governments survive because it's citizens feel safe and (relatively) well off. Neither Boris, Trump or the many other world leaders can afford to see a total collapse of capitalism.

    Nice try ... but maybe have a few less sherries next time eh

    As for mine ... if Boris survives his illness (which is not so sure given how ill he looks, and he's not exactly a figure of health at the best of times) then he'll stay on through this time. If he carks it then that's a different story!

    I think stock markets will hover where they are for some time yet. We're gonna need some change in leader's policy to push the markets one way or the other. It's more likely governments will loose the ties slowly to get the economies back moving again (and sacrificing a few souls if necessary) than go for tighter lockdowns for much longer.

    My final prediction is you'll continue to post fear as you're clearly struggling for some reason at the moment. Maybe you should call your GP for some help, rather than post on here in General.
    Last edited by Whorty; 4 April 2020, 08:53.

    Leave a comment:


  • mudskipper
    replied
    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post

    20% reading this thread today - will be dead in 8 weeks time
    Thankfully I read it tomorrow.

    Leave a comment:


  • MrMarkyMark
    replied
    Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post
    That's grim?
    It will be if we get Gove to replace him

    Leave a comment:


  • DealorNoDeal
    replied
    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    Boris will be close to resining at same point
    That's grim?

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Originally posted by GhostofTarbera View Post
    I’ve called a few thinks correct many weeks ago

    Stock markets and end of contracting

    Let me make a few more

    20% reading this thread today - will be dead in 8 weeks time

    Boris will be close to resining at same point

    Stock market down another 25%



    Sent from my iPhone using Contractor UK Forum
    I am the 5th person to read this. The other 4 are fit and well.

    Leave a comment:


  • MrMarkyMark
    replied
    Originally posted by rogerfederer View Post
    You're asking for predictions?

    He's not fit, probably eats junk, has been a horrible individual to his partners and numerous children and has a lowered immune system from the stress of being in the limelight that he so thought he desired.

    Boris Johnson will die of coronavirus complications.
    I have just been reading a thread on twitter written by a journo.....

    Johnson may be replaced by Gove......

    https://mobile.twitter.com/ThatTimWa...03119106019328

    Leave a comment:


  • rogerfederer
    replied
    Originally posted by MrMarkyMark
    FTFY
    I think he may be dyslexic. Not a joke/jibe.

    Leave a comment:


  • rogerfederer
    replied
    You're asking for predictions?

    He's not fit, probably eats junk, has been a horrible individual to his partners and numerous children and has a lowered immune system from the stress of being in the limelight that he so thought he desired.

    Boris Johnson will die of coronavirus complications.

    Leave a comment:


  • ladymuck
    replied
    The last two are not sufficiently time boxed. Or you are Nostradamus and I claim my five pounds

    Leave a comment:


  • GhostofTarbera
    started a topic Grim predictions

    Grim predictions

    I’ve called a few thinks correct many weeks ago

    Stock markets and end of contracting

    Let me make a few more

    20% reading this thread today - will be dead in 8 weeks time

    Boris will be close to resining at same point

    Stock market down another 25%



    Sent from my iPhone using Contractor UK Forum

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