Stock market fluctuations entered danger zone last week

[BlasterBates]

I wouldn't wait for a collapse, I would just wait for corrections. Currently it's a bit expensive. The thing is you need to know when a share is over valued or under valued. I base my decisions on my distance learning business degree, where we were taught to analyse companies based on the annual report. I spent many hours analysing companies balance sheets and P&L. Once you have that training the stock market is a great investment. You can learn this stuff yourself or otherwise buy into funds and use timing. A constant amount each month into a fund, and money held back for the crash. My general rule is have enough cash to double your portfolio after a crash that means no more than 66% of your investment should be in the stock market during a boom.

[NotAllThere]

TBH I don't have many shares, well in fact I have none. But after a collapse might be a good time to start investing.

It's an excellent time. But what if you invest before it all bottoms out?

[GreenMirror]

Will this affect gene editing stocks?

[BlasterBates]

A crash is at least a year probably more like 2 or 3 years away. The beginnings of the slowdown are there, "labor" shortages, rising oil prices, commodity prices and interest rates. Don't be surprised when it crashes if prices crash back down to where they are now.

Always make sure you have plenty of cash for more purchases when it happens.

[DimPrawn]

I carefully read that paper in the link. It contains no details whatsoever, complete garbage. Was this from the Daily Mail Doom prediction team by any chance?

[OwlHoot]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

Yep, obviously the lottery like any random event has no "memory". So each time you lose, you're back to square one.

Also, I'm a bit suspicious of those Colour and Number combos on Lotto tickets. As they are presumably generated by Camelot's computers, who's to say they are truly random and not carefully contrived so there are fewer than expected winners?!

[sasguru]

Talking of idiots I reckon I'm long overdue for a £1m+ win on the National Lottery. It's starting to pee me off.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

[Platypus]

TBH I don't have many shares, well in fact I have none. But after a collapse might be a good time to start investing.

(I've bet on several house raffles though, probably two or three thousand pounds so far over the last couple of years. The odds are literally thousands of times better than the "Idiot's Tax" National Lottery, and I wonder why more people don't do it.)

Talking of idiots I reckon I'm long overdue for a £1m+ win on the National Lottery. It's starting to pee me off.

[OwlHoot]

TBH I don't have many shares, well in fact I have none. But after a collapse might be a good time to start investing.

(I've bet on several house raffles though, probably two or three thousand pounds so far over the last couple of years. The odds are literally thousands of times better than the "Idiot's Tax" National Lottery, and I wonder why more people don't do it.)

[NotAllThere]

So instead of selling all your holdings and then buying after the collapse, you're keeping your holdings and buying more after the collapse?

That's certainly my strategy.

[OwlHoot]

So, have you sold all your holdings yet?

Nah, waiting to pile in once stocks have gone through the floor ..

[NotAllThere]

2018-06-01 The Stock Market Has Grown Unstable Since February 2018

So, have you sold all your holdings yet?

[BlasterBates]

Trump is the right man, in the right place at the right time.

[OwlHoot]

2018-06-01 The Stock Market Has Grown Unstable Since February 2018

.. Decreases in U indicate regimes of "high co-movement", a market behavior that is not the same as volatility, though market volatility can be a component of co-movement.

Applying the same analysis to stock-price data from the beginning of 2016 until now, we find that the U value for the period since 5 February is significantly lower than for the period before.

This decrease entered the "danger zone" in the last week of May, 2018.