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This whole thread is a waste of time. Instead of talking about wage growth you should be talking about the coming permanent shrinkage of the job market
For some the days when they had a job, any job, will seem like a nostalgic paradise.
I had 2 highly qualified friends leave the UK for the states in 2002 because of what they termed 'The ridiculous low wages for people of their skill set.' They are doing quite well in the US and have never regretted the move. I think low pay(relative to living costs) has been a problem in the UK for quite a while. I do accept that at the low skill level EU migration has also played a significant role in keeping wages depressed, but firms in general across all but the most senior levels, have kept wages low(sh) for at least the last 2 decades. IMHO.
The UK brain drain, being going on for decades if not since intercontinental travel was invented (i.e. boats). Anyone with a brain has opportunities abroad. Some choose to take them, most do not.
I myself could have been born a '10 pound pom' child if my parents had moved to Australia when given the choice. Not sure which outcome would have been best but no point regretting the past unless someone invents a time machine so can change it.
I had 2 highly qualified friends leave the UK for the states in 2002 because of what they termed 'The ridiculous low wages for people of their skill set.' They are doing quite well in the US and have never regretted the move. I think low pay(relative to living costs) has been a problem in the UK for quite a while. I do accept that at the low skill level EU migration has also played a significant role in keeping wages depressed, but firms in general across all but the most senior levels, have kept wages low(sh) for at least the last 2 decades. IMHO.
Wouldn't you agree that a slower rate of change in employment level is good?
It depends what you mean by rate of change (and in what). Certainly, stable employment statistics are better than rapidly increasing unemployment OTOH, churn (hiring/firing) within the labour market is considered a good measure of a healthy labour force and a source of wage inflation. The employment statistics are stable but, as in the US, they hide a lot of ugly characteristics when you decompose them.
The rat is essentially self-employment and a lack of full employment. You see exactly the same pattern in the US. Essentially, QE and cheap credit (specifically, FLS in the UK) has allowed unproductive businesses to survive and retain their workforce, leading to a somewhat shallower recession but a very anaemic recovery. With a plentiful supply of labour, the work is distributed across more people. Hence, more people in work (largely self-employed) and lower wages. That's my take, anyway. Other explanations are available
Wouldn't you agree that a slower rate of change in employment level is good?
The rat is essentially self-employment and a lack of full employment. You see exactly the same pattern in the US. Essentially, QE and cheap credit (specifically, FLS in the UK) has allowed unproductive businesses to survive and retain their workforce, leading to a somewhat shallower recession but a very anaemic recovery. With a plentiful supply of labour, the work is distributed across more people. Hence, more people in work (largely self-employed) and lower wages. That's my take, anyway. Other explanations are available
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