Election polls - eh??????????

[Zero Liability]

It's not so much the polls as it is how they are spun. The overall trend is the two major parties are neck to neck.

[OwlHoot]

The gales blowing outside, and these yoyoing contradictory polls remind me of Sir Francis Bacon's essay Of Seditions and Troubles.

Shepherds of people had need know the calendars of tempests in state; which are commonly greatest when things grow to equality; as natural tempests are greatest about the Equinoctia. And as there are certain hollow blasts of wind and secret swellings of seas before a tempest, so are there in states.

...

Libels and licentious discourses against the state, when they are frequent and open; and in like sort, false news often running up and down to the disadvantage of the state, and hastily embraced; are amongst the signs of troubles ...

[flamel]

Conservatives move into strongest position for five years | Daily Mail Online


Labour opens up 4-point poll lead after TV contest when Miliband vowed: 'Hell yes, I'm tough enough' | Daily Mail Online

I've always found the Daily Mail to be most edifying.

[SunnyInHades]

Interesting stuff here about the betting market being more of a guide than opinion polls

If you want to know who will win the election, ask a gambler - Telegraph

Betfair betting exchange, Tue 31 March 2015

Conservative 280 (37%)
Labour 272 (40%)
SNP 42 (5%)
Liberal Democrat 30 (8%)
UKIP 3 (5%)
Others 23 (5%)

Winning Post 326

[LancelotBarre]

Conservatives at 66% on Betfair to achieve the highest number of seats.

[barrydidit]

Interesting stuff here about the betting market being more of a guide than opinion polls

If you want to know who will win the election, ask a gambler - Telegraph

[MicrosoftBob]

...as usual!

Only one poll counts - the one where they count actual votes and Labour postal votes from dead & made up people.

FTFY

[Dactylion]

All the polls are within the margin of error. total b0llocks...

...as usual!

Only one poll counts - the one where they count actual votes.

[MicrosoftBob]

When was the last time the party with the largest number of votes didn't form the government, has it happened before ?

[NickFitz]

Without bothering to read any of the stories, I would just point out that, theoretically, one party could be in its strongest position for x years and another party y points ahead of them, if during those x years, the difference of the second and first party's ranking had always been greater than y.

[SueEllen]

All the polls are within the margin of error.

[xoggoth]

I just did a survey of an anti-fracking idiot up the road and his pet hamster. The Greens will walk it!

[xoggoth]

Ah! The Guardian beat me to it!

Election 2015: can we trust the polls? | Politics | The Guardian

And The Independent, Damn it.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-10142955.html

[xoggoth]

Conservatives move into strongest poll position for five years with four-point lead over Labour
Tories are up one point with 36%, while Labour is down three points to 32%
Published: 22:00, 29 March 2015 | Updated: 15:24, 30 March 2015

Conservatives move into strongest position for five years | Daily Mail Online

Labour opens up 4-point poll lead after TV contest
New YouGov opinion poll puts Labour on 36% and Tories on 32%
Published: 10:11, 29 March 2015 | Updated: 17:17, 29 March 2015

Labour opens up 4-point poll lead after TV contest when Miliband vowed: 'Hell yes, I'm tough enough' | Daily Mail Online