Originally posted by BlasterBates
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Reply to: Lib Dems lead the polls
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Previously on "Lib Dems lead the polls"
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Originally posted by BlasterBates View PostIf that poll is correct then it translates into seats as follows:
Electoral Calculus prediction of seats in UK parliament
Labour 202
Brexit Party 141
Lib Dem 119
Conservative 110
SNP 55
oh dear
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Originally posted by Old Greg View PostNever to be forgotten.Last edited by TestMangler; 31 May 2019, 11:54.
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Originally posted by BlasterBates View PostThe scary thing about that poll is the trend with the Brexit party sinking and the Liberal Democrats rising, in other words the question mark in the EU elections on which side did better has been removed.
be afraid
As long as I am not very afraid....
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The scary thing about that poll is the trend with the Brexit party sinking and the Liberal Democrats rising, in other words the question mark in the EU elections on which side did better has been removed.
be afraid
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Originally posted by Old Greg View PostBut will the Tartan Tories show their true colours again?
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Originally posted by BlasterBates View PostIf that poll is correct then it translates into seats as follows:
Electoral Calculus prediction of seats in UK parliament
Labour 202
Brexit Party 141
Lib Dem 119
Conservative 110
SNP 55
oh dear
Leave a comment:
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If that poll is correct then it translates into seats as follows:
Electoral Calculus prediction of seats in UK parliament
Labour 202
Brexit Party 141
Lib Dem 119
Conservative 110
SNP 55
oh dear
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Originally posted by Yorkie62 View PostSo they basically fudge the results until they get the result somewhere close to what they want and then publish.
Lies, damn lies, and statistics
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Originally posted by Yorkie62 View PostBut they still will not get as many seats (under the FPTP system) as either Labour or the OCnservatives and probably not many more than the SNP - from the same You Gov link) ]You Gov - Lib Dems lead the polls
Once again heavily weighted in favour of the south of England, of the 1763 people sampled, 763 ( 43%) live in London(18% of the 763) or the South, 407 (23%) live in the Midlands/Wales, 429 (24%) live in the NORTH, and 164 (9%) liv in Scotland. Just saying!YouGov weights GB political surveys by (1) age interlocked with gender and education, (2)
political attention (3) social grade (4) 2017 recalled vote interlocked with region and (5) EU
referendum recalled vote. Weighting targets are YouGov estimates, data sources used in the
calculation of targets are cited below. General election voting intention figures are additionally
weighted by likelihood to vote. The poll was carried out online.
YouGov Weighting Data
All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical
record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a
party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that
they lie within 2 points.
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