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Previously on "Lib Dems lead the polls"

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  • NotAllThere
    replied
    Originally posted by BlasterBates View Post
    If that poll is correct then it translates into seats as follows:

    Electoral Calculus prediction of seats in UK parliament

    Labour 202
    Brexit Party 141
    Lib Dem 119
    Conservative 110
    SNP 55

    oh dear

    So a coalition government of Labour/Lib Dem/SNP.

    Leave a comment:


  • Eirikur
    replied
    Originally posted by BlasterBates View Post
    If that poll is correct then it translates into seats as follows:

    Electoral Calculus prediction of seats in UK parliament

    Labour 202
    Brexit Party 141
    Lib Dem 119
    Conservative 110
    SNP 55

    oh dear



    That's how democratic the UK is the 4th biggest party gets the most seats

    Leave a comment:


  • TestMangler
    replied
    Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
    Never to be forgotten.
    Absolutely. Of the 311 votes cast supporting the motion, the only ones that actually counted were the 11 SNP ones. Even the labour abstention wouldn't have made a difference, or the SDLP abstention.
    Last edited by TestMangler; 31 May 2019, 11:54.

    Leave a comment:


  • Old Greg
    replied
    Originally posted by TestMangler View Post
    I assume you're referring to the SNP supporting the no confidence motion of 1979 ??
    Never to be forgotten.

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Originally posted by BlasterBates View Post
    The scary thing about that poll is the trend with the Brexit party sinking and the Liberal Democrats rising, in other words the question mark in the EU elections on which side did better has been removed.

    be afraid
    I can be afraid.

    As long as I am not very afraid....

    Leave a comment:


  • BlasterBates
    replied
    The scary thing about that poll is the trend with the Brexit party sinking and the Liberal Democrats rising, in other words the question mark in the EU elections on which side did better has been removed.

    be afraid

    Leave a comment:


  • TestMangler
    replied
    Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
    But will the Tartan Tories show their true colours again?
    I assume you're referring to the SNP supporting the no confidence motion of 1979 ??

    Leave a comment:


  • Old Greg
    replied
    Originally posted by TestMangler View Post
    A return to '77 and The Lib Lab Pact
    But will the Tartan Tories show their true colours again?

    Leave a comment:


  • TestMangler
    replied
    Originally posted by BlasterBates View Post
    If that poll is correct then it translates into seats as follows:

    Electoral Calculus prediction of seats in UK parliament

    Labour 202
    Brexit Party 141
    Lib Dem 119
    Conservative 110
    SNP 55

    oh dear

    A return to '77 and The Lib Lab Pact

    Leave a comment:


  • Old Greg
    replied
    Originally posted by BrilloPad View Post
    Lies, damn lies, and statistics. And OldSmeg posts.....
    There is a whole world out there that is beyond the grasp of your pitifully limited intellect.

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Originally posted by Yorkie62 View Post
    So they basically fudge the results until they get the result somewhere close to what they want and then publish.

    Lies, damn lies, and statistics
    Lies, damn lies, and statistics. And OldSmeg posts.....

    Leave a comment:


  • BlasterBates
    replied
    If that poll is correct then it translates into seats as follows:

    Electoral Calculus prediction of seats in UK parliament

    Labour 202
    Brexit Party 141
    Lib Dem 119
    Conservative 110
    SNP 55

    oh dear

    Leave a comment:


  • Old Greg
    replied
    Originally posted by Yorkie62 View Post
    So they basically fudge the results until they get the result somewhere close to what they want and then publish.

    Lies, damn lies, and statistics
    I guess that must be how it looks to a paranoid cretin like you. I've tried to help you today but you are beyond help.

    Leave a comment:


  • Yorkie62
    replied
    Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
    Just saying.
    So they basically fudge the results until they get the result somewhere close to what they want and then publish.

    Lies, damn lies, and statistics

    Leave a comment:


  • Old Greg
    replied
    Originally posted by Yorkie62 View Post
    But they still will not get as many seats (under the FPTP system) as either Labour or the OCnservatives and probably not many more than the SNP - from the same You Gov link) ]You Gov - Lib Dems lead the polls

    Once again heavily weighted in favour of the south of England, of the 1763 people sampled, 763 ( 43%) live in London(18% of the 763) or the South, 407 (23%) live in the Midlands/Wales, 429 (24%) live in the NORTH, and 164 (9%) liv in Scotland. Just saying!
    YouGov weights GB political surveys by (1) age interlocked with gender and education, (2)
    political attention (3) social grade (4) 2017 recalled vote interlocked with region and (5) EU
    referendum recalled vote. Weighting targets are YouGov estimates, data sources used in the
    calculation of targets are cited below. General election voting intention figures are additionally
    weighted by likelihood to vote. The poll was carried out online.
    YouGov Weighting Data
    All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical
    record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a
    party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that
    they lie within 2 points.
    Just saying.

    Leave a comment:

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