Originally posted by darmstadt
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Previously on "What position do you think we'll be in on March 29?"
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Originally posted by Zigenare View PostSomeone will be along shortly with another poll...
Sent from my SM-G955F using Contractor UK Forum mobile app
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Originally posted by Mordac View PostSplit the UKIP vote? What UKIP vote? UKIP ceased to be relevant when some idiot decided they should become the Peoples Front of Judea (alright, the Popular Front).
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Originally posted by meridian View PostI’m not so sure about that. A new party on his own? Not much time to get a full party PR bandwagon behind him, but I don’t doubt that he’d get a bit of a push from some friendly “businessmen” to pay for it.
Even if he does get a new party going, there’s a fair chance he would split the UKIP vote anyway.
And if it’s a one-man party (and even with other candidates in the party, let’s be honest, the others would all be anonymous nobodies) we can’t forget the 7-attempts-7-failures that he’s had to become an MP.
Whatever happens, it will be interesting to watch :-)
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Originally posted by Mordac View PostWell spotted. If he stands on behalf of another party (albeit one yet to be created) he'll still win enough % to get in. So the idea that he might still be an MEP, and him being a UKIP MEP are not necessarily compatible. And at no point did I say they were so.
Even if he does get a new party going, there’s a fair chance he would split the UKIP vote anyway.
And if it’s a one-man party (and even with other candidates in the party, let’s be honest, the others would all be anonymous nobodies) we can’t forget the 7-attempts-7-failures that he’s had to become an MP.
Whatever happens, it will be interesting to watch :-)
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Originally posted by meridian View PostI don’t necessarily disagree, however:
These two statements are mutually incompatible.
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I don’t necessarily disagree, however:
Originally posted by Mordac View PostThanks to PR he'll be perfectly safeHe's actually left UKIP, in case you weren't paying attention, so the likelihood of him being re-elected as a UKIP MEP is fairly close to zero.
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Originally posted by meridian View PostOnly if he gets back in.
If it does go all the way to EP elections, the election battle of UKIP vs pro-Remain candidates could be a proxy for a second referendum anyway.
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