Originally posted by original PM
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Previously on "Carney says Brexit already costing UK economy £10B per year"
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Economists never seem to get it right. Hell, they can never even agree with each other. Economic consensus doesn't exist, and when you get something close to it then they're invariably wrong. Economics is opinion which pretends to be a science when wrapped in the warm comforting glow that only hindsight can offer. Trusting the judgement of economists is like asking an archaeologist to predict future trends - it's guesswork.
Just one example: the Governor of the Bank of England didn't predict the great credit crunch of 2007/8.
There he was, lavishly resourced, right at the heart of the system, and he missed it. Just as almost all the other economists missed it. The business professors at Harvard Business School? Missed it. Chairman of the Federal reserve - missed it. The greatest economic minds in the country - missed it. The advisors to central banks across the globe - missed it. AND IT WAS STARING THEM ALL IN THE FACE.
Here is HW's economic prediction:
We're due a recession.
There was one in the early eighties, when unemployment raced up under Maggie Thatcher before the Lawson boom.
Then one in the early nineties under John Major, before...
the DotCom boom and bust around 2000.
Then another one in 2007/8 - the big credit crunch.
They come around every 10 years or so. So we're just about due.
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Originally posted by Eirikur View PostIt's as a result of the devastating floods of Feb 1953, which also affected East Anglia, but the Brits did nothing on their side.
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Well I do believe in britain we must have pretty crap water management - as evidenced by the fact we have floods for a portion of the year and then 'hosepipe' bans for others.
But yes we build on flood plains without taking proper precautions.
Whether the EU dredging rules are making a difference - who knows...
but we need to sort it out.
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Originally posted by original PM View PostWhich is as we know a result of an EU directive.
https://www.adamsmith.org/blog/energ...oding-straight
Or maybe not
https://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK...ut-foundation/
Depending on who you believe!
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Originally posted by Eirikur View PostIt is funny that the Dutch have flooding completely under control whereas the Brits get flooded after every rain shower
https://www.adamsmith.org/blog/energ...oding-straight
Or maybe not
https://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK...ut-foundation/
Depending on who you believe!
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Originally posted by shaunbhoy View PostYou have to make some serious allowances for Eirikur.
He hails from a country whose greatest hero achieved that accolade simply by sticking his finger in a dyke!! Oooerr missus!
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Originally posted by tomtomagain View PostRude. And in fact wrong.
I am a remainer.
But I'm over it.
He could get hold of the wrong end of the stick if it only had one end!!
But don't upset him though.....he once confronted a plooky teenager that had strayed onto his property. Urban Warrior or what?
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Originally posted by Whorty View PostHe's a brexiter, he doesn't understand facts, just soundbites on the side of buses
I am a remainer.
But I'm over it.
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or depending on your outlook.
Shouldn't be surprised, it's what they do with hard decisions, kick them into the long grass and then down the road for as long as they can.
Look at how they've handled the finances since the 2008 meltdown with seemingly perpetual 'emergency' low interest rates.
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Brexit is going well, helped by the fact that it isn't really happening.
Government pushing to extend the Transition period beyond 2021
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Originally posted by Eirikur View PostThe UK was lucky to be in a period of world wide economical growth during and after the referendum. If there was just a little or no growth the consequences of the referendum outcome would have been devastating. The impact is there now and visible as Carney rightly says, but brexidiots experience it as no impact, because there is still growth, but what they conveniently ignore is that the growth in most other economic powerhouses is twice that of the UK or even better
"Figures released today are much better than predicted, despite Brexit"
"Figures released today are much worse than predicted, due to Brexit"
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