Originally posted by Bagpuss
- Visitors can check out the Forum FAQ by clicking this link. You have to register before you can post: click the REGISTER link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. View our Forum Privacy Policy.
- Want to receive the latest contracting news and advice straight to your inbox? Sign up to the ContractorUK newsletter here. Every sign up will also be entered into a draw to WIN £100 Amazon vouchers!
Property boom
Collapse
X
-
-
Originally posted by janeywoud you like to qualify your statement?
The medias reporting of statistics is often wrong. Most of the maths and methods behind what is oft misreported are correct.
Reminds me of an audience member on Questiontime the other week on bird flu. "Why are we looking at statistics, surely we should be looking into the numbers". FFS!The court heard Darren Upton had written a letter to Judge Sally Cahill QC saying he wasn’t “a typical inmate of prison”.
But the judge said: “That simply demonstrates your arrogance continues. You are typical. Inmates of prison are people who are dishonest. You are a thoroughly dishonestly man motivated by your own selfish greed.”Comment
-
I agree, in partOriginally posted by BagpussThe medias reporting of statistics is often wrong. Most of the maths and methods behind what is oft misreported are correct.
Reminds me of an audience member on Questiontime the other week on bird flu. "Why are we looking at statistics, surely we should be looking into the numbers". FFS!
I'm sure they have used the methods and calculations correctly, however my issue with statistics is that you can use various methods on a data set and each one will prove something different... what I mean is that if you had 3 methods and used them on the same data the follwoing can potentially happen:
1. method one - proves your hypothesis
2. method two - doesn't prove or disprove your hypothesis
3. method three - disproves your hypothesis
obviously method one is always going to be the one that is reported on... be it in the media or any other publication... because it says "told you we were right""Well behaved women rarely make history"
Comment
-
Originally posted by janeyI agree, in part
I'm sure they have used the methods and calculations correctly, however my issue with statistics is that you can use various methods on a data set and each one will prove something different... what I mean is that if you had 3 methods and used them on the same data the follwoing can potentially happen:
1. method one - proves your hypothesis
2. method two - doesn't prove or disprove your hypothesis
3. method three - disproves your hypothesis
obviously method one is always going to be the one that is reported on... be it in the media or any other publication... because it says "told you we were right"
Very unlikely the situation you describe would ever happen. In any credible research you specify what you are going to do up front and justify why you are doing it. Usually there is supporting literature for doing it the way you have chosen. What you describe sounds like data dredging and/or someone who has no idea what they are doing.The court heard Darren Upton had written a letter to Judge Sally Cahill QC saying he wasn’t “a typical inmate of prison”.
But the judge said: “That simply demonstrates your arrogance continues. You are typical. Inmates of prison are people who are dishonest. You are a thoroughly dishonestly man motivated by your own selfish greed.”Comment
-
erm well I know for a fact that is exactly what happens.Originally posted by BagpussVery unlikely the situation you describe would ever happen. In any credible research you specify what you are going to do up front and justify why you are doing it. Usually there is supporting literature for doing it the way you have chosen. What you describe sounds like data dredging and/or someone who has no idea what they are doing.
the author would be more than capable of justifying why they have used the methods however what concerns me is what they don't tell you... i.e. all the calculations they used which didn't prove anything or more importantly actually completely disproved what they were claiming."Well behaved women rarely make history"
Comment
-
If you provide a CI or p-value for each of the methods, that would enable you to decide which is more likely.Originally posted by janeyI agree, in part
I'm sure they have used the methods and calculations correctly, however my issue with statistics is that you can use various methods on a data set and each one will prove something different... what I mean is that if you had 3 methods and used them on the same data the follwoing can potentially happen:
1. method one - proves your hypothesis
2. method two - doesn't prove or disprove your hypothesis
3. method three - disproves your hypothesis
obviously method one is always going to be the one that is reported on... be it in the media or any other publication... because it says "told you we were right"Hard Brexit now!
#prayfornodealComment
-
Originally posted by janeyerm well I know for a fact that is exactly what happens.
the author would be more than capable of justifying why they have used the methods however what concerns me is what they don't tell you... i.e. all the calculations they used which didn't prove anything or more importantly actually completely disproved what they were claiming.
Which industry does this happen in? My guess is you are talking about marketing or social sciences. Because any kind of regulated environment for example medical research, it would be thrown out. You cannot throw things out you have specified up front, you report the good with the bad.The court heard Darren Upton had written a letter to Judge Sally Cahill QC saying he wasn’t “a typical inmate of prison”.
But the judge said: “That simply demonstrates your arrogance continues. You are typical. Inmates of prison are people who are dishonest. You are a thoroughly dishonestly man motivated by your own selfish greed.”Comment
-
Indeed. In Clinical Trials, the requirements are stringent, for obvious reasons.Originally posted by BagpussWhich industry does this happen in? My guess is you are talking about marketing or social sciences. Because any kind of regulated environment for example medical research, it would be thrown out. You cannot throw things out you have specified up front, you report the good with the bad.Hard Brexit now!
#prayfornodealComment
-
I was actually talking about financial research.Originally posted by BagpussWhich industry does this happen in? My guess is you are talking about marketing or social sciences. Because any kind of regulated environment for example medical research, it would be thrown out. You cannot throw things out you have specified up front, you report the good with the bad."Well behaved women rarely make history"
Comment
-
Comment
- Home
- News & Features
- First Timers
- IR35 / S660 / BN66
- Employee Benefit Trusts
- Agency Workers Regulations
- MSC Legislation
- Limited Companies
- Dividends
- Umbrella Company
- VAT / Flat Rate VAT
- Job News & Guides
- Money News & Guides
- Guide to Contracts
- Successful Contracting
- Contracting Overseas
- Contractor Calculators
- MVL
- Contractor Expenses
Advertisers
Contractor Services
CUK News
- Loan Recall Case Study: Amanda Today 06:00
- How IR35 inflated an £8.5bn consultancy bill — and tests Burnham at the Budget Aug 28 07:47
- Autumn Budget 2026: FCSA’s 5 contractor asks of John Healey Aug 27 04:15
- Andy Burnham's Zoom gripe doesn’t apply to IT contractors, say recruiters Aug 26 03:41
- Check your Loan Recall paperwork for the Isle of Man: it could matter Aug 25 03:27
- Budget 2026: Contractor advisers ask for ‘IR35 reset’ Aug 24 04:57
- Why might an umbrella company fail to pay its total tax bill to HMRC? Aug 18 06:08
- Contractors, here are the late payment fixes that the Lords just turned down Aug 17 08:03
- How will HMRC's Direct Debit plan affect contractors paying VAT and PAYE? Aug 13 23:54
- HMRC's new 'reckless' tax offence: an IR35 game-changer for contractors? Aug 13 13:50

Comment