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Boomed! More proof Credit Crunch is nonsense

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    #31
    Originally posted by Stan.goodvibes View Post
    So the crunch started because people noticed that a fair amount of debt was 'sub-prime' and the loaners *might* default.

    I wonder how much of that 1.8 trillion dollars of 'toxic' debt that was needed to be secured somehow (by we the peoples) has actually gone bad?

    It seemed to me that a lot of the crunch was created by S&P and Moodys downgrading the banks ratings thereby forcing them to increase their capital base, at a time when that was nearly impossible to do so.

    Yeah everyone was over-leveraged, but without the panic the banks could have taken the losses from those mortgages that *did* default (over time) as per normal losses (mortgage defaults, bankruptcies etc). It might have meant a scale-back on loans, and a hit on profits, but it seems to me the situation got completely blown out of proportion forcing an extreme de-leveraging that nearly destroyed the banking system.

    Everyone seems to be decrying the days of 'cheap credit', but theres absolutely nothing wrong with cheap credit - its what made our economies expand so much over the last 20 years. As long as people can pay the interest and/or the balance on the loan theres nothing wrong with it.

    Bring back the cheap credit!
    That's what makes this Credit Crunch ™ such an opportunity. The boom will be back within a short period (maybe a year or two) and there's so many opportunities to buy in a near rock bottom prices.

    Take oil for example. Wouldn't be surprised to see it hit $50 a barrel and within a couple of years top $150 a barrel. Easy way to triple your cash!

    Property (and especially land) will look good too.

    Boomed!

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      #32
      The number of people at a shopping mall is irrelevant at this time. What they spend is relevant, and recent surveys have shown that many are just going for a day out, with no intentioning of making any purchases.

      Comment


        #33
        Originally posted by Cyberman View Post
        The number of people at a shopping mall is irrelevant at this time. What they spend is relevant, and recent surveys have shown that many are just going for a day out, with no intentioning of making any purchases.
        I went to our new shopping centre to have a look at other people spending their money, as none of the new shops interested me. I think they were mostly clothes shops or similar. How come there is such a big market for clothes? Surely if you buy clothes, you are set up in clothing for a few years, or decades? Why go back again next week? And where do all the old clothes go?

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          #34
          Originally posted by TimberWolf View Post
          I went to our new shopping centre to have a look at other people spending their money, as none of the new shops interested me. I think they were mostly clothes shops or similar. How come there is such a big market for clothes? Surely if you buy clothes, you are set up in clothing for a few years, or decades? Why go back again next week? And where do all the old clothes go?
          You are single aren't you?

          My wife never has any clothes (she says), buys clothes constantly that she dumps into storage and never wears. What is it with women and clothes?

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            #35
            Originally posted by TheBigYinJames View Post
            As I said a couple of weeks ago, we are always being TOLD that there are factories/businesses closing, but I haven't personally seen any yet. It's difficult to work out if busienss churn is being painted as closures, or what.

            From a personal perspective, I don't personally know anybody out of work because of the CC, I haven't seen any business close because of it. I don't personally know of any contractors on the bench and don't want to be.

            The town centres are still mobbed with people shopping, go try buying a Wii Fit in your high street. Supermarket checkouts seem busier these days. I've been to nice restaurants a couple of times in the last month, and I've had to book, we almost didn't get into the 2nd one last week due to demand.

            I don't doubt something is on the way, because I don't believe so many clever people can be mistaken. but I haven't seen any sign of it yet.
            Agreed, always question who benefits from telling us bad times are ahead. The more the mantra is repeated the more people start to believe it. In my experience nobody does their own research, we just trust so called 'experts'

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              #36
              Originally posted by Signo_cypher View Post
              Agreed, always question who benefits from telling us bad times are ahead. The more the mantra is repeated the more people start to believe it. In my experience nobody does their own research, we just trust so called 'experts'
              I think it is market manipulation on a massive scale.

              Talk the economy up and asset prices boom, the rich make a killing and sell out at huge profit. Then talk the market into the ground and pickup the bargains and repeat. The media are completely controlled now.

              This time, I'm on the gravy train with them.

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                #37
                Observation - Social Economics - Deception and Fraud


                To state the credit-crunch is non-sense then implies in turn the Billion Dollar Bail Out is fraudulent.
                If you have done no wrong then you have nothing to fear ...perhaps.

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                  #38
                  Originally posted by DimPrawn View Post
                  I think it is market manipulation on a massive scale.

                  Talk the economy up and asset prices boom, the rich make a killing and sell out at huge profit. Then talk the market into the ground and pickup the bargains and repeat. The media are completely controlled now.

                  This time, I'm on the gravy train with them.
                  I never know if you are being serious -

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                    #39
                    Originally posted by DimPrawn View Post
                    ...Credit Crunch ™
                    ....
                    Boomed!
                    Coming soon, the Credit Card Crunch ™
                    Bored.

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