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Best case scenario, 80% of normal salary, no greater than 2.5k PCM, sounds like a lot of stretching on the horizon. Especially for those earning more than 30k pa, which is a lot of people in the SE. I say best case scenario, because furloughed workers will eventually translate into redundant workers in a lot of cases, plus there are redundancies ongoing. If you seriously think that UK housing assets are going to make it through this unscathed, I have a garden bridge for sale at full pre-CV price.
Average salaries down 20% "best scenario", unlikely
Average salaries down 20% "best scenario", unlikely
Around 20% of the workforce is furloughed. Massive redundancies are already happening. House prices are determined at the margins.
The idea that the housing market will weather this unscathed seems a little "unhinged" to me. Unless you're heavily invested in BTL, of course, then it's probably just "putting a positive spin on it"
Around 20% of the workforce is furloughed. Massive redundancies are already happening. House prices are determined at the margins.
The idea that the housing market will weather this unscathed seems a little "unhinged" to me. Unless you're heavily invested in BTL, of course, then it's probably just "putting a positive spin on it"
Unscathed no, crash also not, predictions currently 3-10% down. I gave up my BTL years ago.
Except during that inconvenient period when prices sunk by 30% or more (outside of London and the SE, there are places that never really recovered) and estate agents were talking about “curtailed demand” and a “challenging market” and perhaps “flat prices”. Estate agents are like scootie. They have their story and they’re sticking to it. Currently, they are predicting a 3% fall
Sadly Pater who has retired to the Algarve has two properties extant in the UK which I'm supposed to sell.
I doubt my inheritance will be worth much for a while.
These measures are going to be worthless for the foreseeable future. They're either pre-CV (80% in this case) or post-CV on close to zero transactions.
You don't have an economic crash without a housing crash, esp. in the UK.
Yes, people will hold out unless forced to sell: probate, job loss, repossession etc.
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