CUK non-cretin lead over cretins narrows to just one

**barrydidit** · 6 June 2017, 19:50

Originally posted by BrilloPad View Post

Does anyone seriously believe there will be anything other than a Tory majority?

Certainly not the bookies

**darmstadt** · 6 June 2017, 19:52

Yes, a Tory minority

**northernladyuk** · 6 June 2017, 19:55

Hard to say. Probably a Tory majority. Good article here.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...-polls-skewed/

**jamesbrown** · 6 June 2017, 19:57

Originally posted by northernladyuk View Post

Hard to say. Probably a Tory majority. Good article here.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...-polls-skewed/

I really enjoyed watching Nate's online probabilities of Clinton winning the Presidency as the evening progressed. Let's just say his prior distribution was a little off

**PurpleGorilla** · 6 June 2017, 20:01

Two terrorist attacks and the footage of TM in 2012 standing up against the Police Federation defending cuts.

Is that enough to swing it?

**northernladyuk** · 6 June 2017, 20:34

Originally posted by PurpleGorilla View Post

Two terrorist attacks and the footage of TM in 2012 standing up against the Police Federation defending cuts.

Is that enough to swing it?

They will just turn it round to Corbyn and tea with Sinn Féin.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lynton_...ead_cat_theory

**AtW** · 6 June 2017, 21:40

Originally posted by BrilloPad View Post

Does anyone seriously believe there will be anything other than a Tory majority?

It's going to be -1 below majority, enough for MF to lose his stupid bet, after that new PM will run coalition Govt with DUP ...

**vwdan** · 6 June 2017, 21:45

I'm expecting a Tory win, but not by the huge margins and cakewalk they expected.

I think they went into this hugely complacent.

CUK non-cretin lead over cretins narrows to just one