Originally posted by d000hg
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How large a working majority will Tories get?
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The perverse nature of our FPTP system is such that Labour will likely increase their share of the vote compared to 2015 (from 30.4% to around 36%) but will still end up with fewer seats than before. The problem Labour will have is that they will increase their vote in areas where they are already strong rather than stealing many seats from others. Marginals may well swing towards Conservative. That first constituency to declare could well show an increased majority for Labour.
In 2010, Lib Dem increased share from 22% to 23% but lost 5 seats.
If Corbyn does get more than 35.2% of the vote, that would mean a greater share than Tony Blair in 2005 when he won 355 seats.
I reckon Tories will go up from 36.9% to 44% and increase their majority slightly.
The FPTP system is woefully broken, but no party in government is ever going to change the system.Taking a break from contractingComment
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Originally posted by chopper View PostThe perverse nature of our FPTP system is such that Labour will likely increase their share of the vote compared to 2015 (from 30.4% to around 36%) but will still end up with fewer seats than before. The problem Labour will have is that they will increase their vote in areas where they are already strong rather than stealing many seats from others. Marginals may well swing towards Conservative. That first constituency to declare could well show an increased majority for Labour.
In 2010, Lib Dem increased share from 22% to 23% but lost 5 seats.
If Corbyn does get more than 35.2% of the vote, that would mean a greater share than Tony Blair in 2005 when he won 355 seats.
I reckon Tories will go up from 36.9% to 44% and increase their majority slightly.
The FPTP system is woefully broken, but no party in government is ever going to change the system.
a PR referendum was the first second third fourth and fifth red line.Comment
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Originally posted by northernladyuk View PostNah. It will be a Tory Saudi-Isis lover.
If Corbyn was that bad for the IRA, then he will be terrible for the country.Taking a break from contractingComment
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Hung parliament, says the BBC exit poll.
I'm ******* shocked.When freedom comes along, don't PISH in the water supply.....Comment
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Originally posted by BlasterBates View PostI'm still in there with my one seat majority prediction.
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