Originally posted by malvolio
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- it's easier for the electorate to compare and contrast with current. That somehow makes things more transparent and therefore to be 'trusted'.
- it shows 'fairness'.
- it's relatively simple to push through. And lord knows May and the team have bigger fish to fry in the next 2 years.
- it's about as much as Hammond's young advisors (no doubt inherited from Osborne's BTL era) can get their heads around.
Direct taxes will simply increase. SME's and middle England employed will get taped the most.
Hammond and his team of luvvies won't go for the large corporations. The Tories will have enough Brexit-related problems there and May will tell him to leave off.
I reckon the marginal rate band will fall progressively again. VAT will go up. NI will go up. CT will go up. Pensions will be hit. The £2k divi exemption will disappear (2018-19), followed a year later by an increase to the current 7.5% tax for basic rate payers. Will prob go up to 20% because it's a nice round number, it's binary and 'fair'. And it's a populist measure that will go down well with the PAYE class.
The likes of Caffe Nero, Amazon, banks, Spirts Direct and so on will be overlooked, since the Tories will do a deal to retain their presence in UK post-Brexit.
We are so fooked...
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