Eve of referendum polls of polls

[PurpleGorilla]

Facebook effect.

I am so EU loved up - makes my snow boarding and sun shine holidays so much easier.

Hey while you are here, check out my beautiful wife, our lovely wedding, gorgeous children, and big fat house. Like the car? I bet you do...

[jamesbrown]

Indeed I can't prove I'm correct but looking at the graphic it appears to correlate strongly with the event.

The reversal to the previous trend would further suggest that the one off event was the cause of the sudden deviation.

You're not looking at the graphic carefully enough IMO. Also, there is reasonable evidence that directly refutes the claim in that some polls were beginning to show an increase in the perceived economic risks associated with Brexit, which coincided with Gidiot's punishment budget and the mean reversion. Personally, I don't think we'll ever know, in the absence of direct polling, but I think the impact was neutral or possibly even helped Brexit as the arguments were beginning to swing back to the economy (second IMF report etc.), which probably stalled a bigger swing back to the status quo. Again, only speculation.

[FatLazyContractor]

I think you are correct about the dinosaurs, but there is dying out over thousands of years and there is dying out over a year.

The murder certainly made a lot of people think. If the graphic is correct then it had a massive impact. The graphic shows support for Brexit growing up until the murder and then dropping instantly. There was no sign of weakening until then. The opposite.

The graphic shows support for Brexit strengthening again in the last couple if days but with a lot of undecided. History suggests these will err towards the status quo.

I wouldn't be surprised if the result comes in with remain at 54-46.

If bulltulip could float...you'd be the Admiral of the fleet!

[PurpleGorilla]

Eve of referendum polls of polls

Whereas you haven't kept quiet and you have still being called a xenophobe

[FatLazyContractor]

[mudskipper]

Well if you have evidence that anyone has been casting accusations of xenophobia or racism, you must let us know so we can unite in our condemnation.

As you know, a vote for 'leave' is not a vote for Farage, any more than a remain vote is a vote for CMD.

[GB9]

If bulltulip could float...you'd be the Admiral of the fleet!

And then you would get in the bath and squish all of us. Life is just soooo unfair.

[FatLazyContractor]

And then you would get in the bath and squish all of us. Life is just soooo unfair.

Tell me something pal. When it comes to a group photo, do they usually hand you the camera?

[VectraMan]

As you know, a vote for 'leave' is not a vote for Farage, any more than a remain vote is a vote for CMD.

A vote for Remain is a vote for Farage as UKIP can only get stronger if they lose.

One thing we can probably agree on: If it's Remain it'll seem like a huge anti-climax. Just like the Scotland referendum. All that talk and then nothing happens.

[jamesbrown]

A vote for Remain is a vote for Farage as UKIP can only get stronger if they lose.

One thing we can probably agree on: If it's Remain it'll seem like a huge anti-climax. Just like the Scotland referendum. All that talk and then nothing happens.

Yep

I'd be interested to hear any anecdotes about turnout, as I think this will still largely come down to turnout. Word in parts of London is that turnout, so far, is high.