Brexit

[Bee]

Beeexit

Dream.

[PurpleGorilla]

Dream.

Nightmare (remain)

[OwlHoot]

2016-06-20 Will Straw Ordered Remain to Attack Leave Over Jo Cox Death

“We need to recognise that people have been pulled up short by Jo Cox’s death and it is now time to make a very positive case for why we want to be in the European Union… to call out the other side for what they have done to stir division and resentment in the UK. That is something we must all do ..

Will Straw

What an opportunistic hypocrite

"Now time to make a very positive case", and then in literally the same breath he does no more than accuse the Leave camp of "stirring division and resentment"

[AtW]

What an opportunistic hypocrite "Now time to make a very positive case", and then in literally the same breath he does no more than accuse the Leave camp of "stirring division and resentment"

And if pro-Leave person killed some pro-Exit MP, would Farage, Boris and Co do the same or not? They'd be foaming at the mouth using it for their cause.

btw, Jack Straw is a scum just like most (if not all) frontbench politicians.

[Old Greg]

And if pro-Leave person killed some pro-Exit MP,

But they wouldn't, would they? While not all Brexiters are nutters, the nutters do seem to be rallying around the Brexit standard.

[jamesbrown]

Latest Survation phone poll has Remain 1% up after removing undecideds, at 50.5/49.5. That's 2% up for Leave on the last poll, Remain unch. Close. These phone polls have really turned around from those earlier in the campaign, so the gap does appear to have narrowed in a statistically meaningful way.

[AtW]

But they wouldn't, would they? While not all Brexiters are nutters, the nutters do seem to be rallying around the Brexit standard.

Exactamundo

[The_Equalizer]

Latest Survation phone poll has Remain 1% up after removing undecideds, at 50.5/49.5. That's 2% up for Leave on the last poll, Remain unch. Close. These phone polls have really turned around from those earlier in the campaign, so the gap does appear to have narrowed in a statistically meaningful way.

It's rather impressive it's so evenly split. It surely won't boil down to TV debates today and tomorrow?

[jamesbrown]

It's rather impressive it's so evenly split. It surely won't boil down to TV debates today and tomorrow?

No, probably not the TV debates, but turnout will be critical. Past evidence (very reliable IMO) suggests that undecided voters who do actually vote (which will only be a fraction) will split 2:1 in favour of Remain, so Leave needs a polling lead of about 4%, if you believe the polls. Turnout is going to be absolutely critical. If it's 65% or less, it will be very tight indeed. If it's 85%+ (unlikely), it will also be very tight indeed (i.e. many coming out from working class communities that don't traditionally vote). Anywhere in between, Remain will probably win.

[The_Equalizer]

No, probably not the TV debates, but turnout will be critical. Past evidence (very reliable IMO) suggests that undecided voters who do actually vote (which will only be a fraction) will split 2:1 in favour of Remain, so Leave needs a polling lead of about 4%, if you believe the polls. Turnout is going to be absolutely critical. If it's 65% or less, it will be very tight indeed. If it's 85%+ (unlikely), it will also be very tight indeed (i.e. many coming out from working class communities that don't traditionally vote). Anywhere in between, Remain will probably win.

Very interesting. I'll match up your prediction with the result come Friday.