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I think it's almost inevitable going to be Lab/SNP, basically the SNP get to decide the election result and with that power there is going to be some sweet revenge for the referendum bullying.
As far as anything is predictable in this election, that is the most likely outcome. However, the horse-trading looks fractious on things like Trident. It will also depend on how they each weight their short vs. long-term interests, as the SNP obviously want to put themselves into a position where an exit is possible in something less than "a generation". In many ways, a Tory coalition (obviously not involving the SNP) would be a good outcome for the SNP.
I believe it only needs a 3% swing back to labour in Scotland to take the SNP down to 25 seats. I don't see them getting 50 seats or anywhere near it. The papers are also hammering the SNP over health, that will scare the old folks back to labour.
EDIOT: I am also mulling over the unthinkable and tactically voting for labour here.
There is literally zero chance of a Tory-SNP coalition.
If any of them have the slightest grain of integrity they ought to respect that the party with the most votes gets to lead the government. And that'll most likely be the Tories. It's going to be a pretty crap day for democracy if the Tories get the most votes and we get Miliband in number 10.
Crazy so many loons will put labour back in power.
Lots of people are saying the exact same thing about the Tories.
Is there historically a big turn-out from the unemployed and those living on benefits? Or do they benefit from a Labour government without actually voting for it?
If any of them have the slightest grain of integrity they ought to respect that the party with the most votes gets to lead the government. And that'll most likely be the Tories. It's going to be a pretty crap day for democracy if the Tories get the most votes and we get Miliband in number 10.
Without a majority the government will collapse though, so a coalition is preferable.
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