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It won't close. Go to the Korean DMZ if you want to see a closed border. And nobody knows whether the Troubles will start again.
It is very likely, however, to disrupt commerce, in particular the agri-food supply chain which is fully integrated across the border.
If you ever have crossed the Irish - NI border during the troubles you know that it was pretty close to being closed, ofcourse traffic and people were allowed through but it took an awful long time
It was easier to cross the border between West and East Germany at the time
If you ever have crossed the Irish - NI border during the troubles you know that it was pretty close to being closed, ofcourse traffic and people were allowed through but it took an awful long time
It was easier to cross the border between West and East Germany at the time
But you have incorrectly assumed that the Troubles will restart to the extent where this is seemed necessary. And we don't know whether this is the case. There is certainly a risk but who knows what the likelihood is.
The UK will never close the border. And I believe our friends in Ireland will not bow to their EU overlords.
It’s not about closing (or not closing) the border.
It’s about having an external border between two separate entities (the EU and the U.K.) outside of a single market / customs union / SPS regulatory system, and being able to control movement and reporting of goods across that border in either direction. At least, that is the economic/regulatory issue.
The wider political issue is the visibility of any controls, to the extent that they breach the GFA.
It’s not about closing (or not closing) the border.
It’s about having an external border between two separate entities (the EU and the U.K.) outside of a single market / customs union / SPS regulatory system, and being able to control movement and reporting of goods across that border in either direction. At least, that is the economic/regulatory issue.
The wider political issue is the visibility of any controls, to the extent that they breach the GFA.
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