Vote - how will the market react

[helen7]

Assuming May losing the vote today is largely priced in; but how will the markets react if somehow she wins?

Will the pound go up or down?

[Yorkie62]

Assuming May losing the vote today is largely priced in; but how will the markets react if somehow she wins?

Will the pound go up or down?

Yes definitely the pound will go up or down. It may even do a bit of both.

What you need to remember is that the currency markets are as much about speculation (gambling) as they are about economics. Bitcoin is a currency that has taken this to extremes.

Sent from my SM-G955F using Contractor UK Forum mobile app

[Old Greg]

Assuming May losing the vote today is largely priced in; but how will the markets react if somehow she wins?

Will the pound go up or down?

Up, due to more certainty. But as you say, it won't happen.

[Old Greg]

Yes definitely the pound will go up or down. It may even do a bit of both.

What you need to remember is that the currency markets are as much about speculation (gambling) as they are about economics. Bitcoin is a currency that has taken this to extremes.

Sent from my SM-G955F using Contractor UK Forum mobile app

Don't give up the day job. Unless it's in critical national infrastructure.

[Yorkie62]

Up, due to more certainty. But as you say, it won't happen.

How does May losing the vote deliver more certainty?

If she loses, we may leave with no deal - some tell us that this scenario delivers massive uncertainty

If she loses, she could do a Cammeron - uncertainty over who is to be the next leader and what direction they will take us in

If she loses, labour will table a vote of no confidence and if they win that we have a general election on our hands and the prospect of a Labour, or more likely, another hung parliament. Yet more uncertainty.

I just does see the scenario that delivers more certainty if she loses.

[Zigenare]

How does May losing the vote deliver more certainty?

If she loses, we may leave with no deal - some tell us that this scenario delivers massive uncertainty

If she loses, she could do a Cammeron - uncertainty over who is to be the next leader and what direction they will take us in

If she loses, labour will table a vote of no confidence and if they win that we have a general election on our hands and the prospect of a Labour, or more likely, another hung parliament. Yet more uncertainty.

I just does see the scenario that delivers more certainty if she loses.

Eh?

Firstly, I hope she does lose. Secondly I hope there's a General Election. Thirdly I hope JC gets a good kicking! Fourthly, I hope we have a "No Deal Brexit".

Things in this country need a ******* good shake up!

[Old Greg]

How does May losing the vote deliver more certainty?

You really are the stupidest poster in the history of CUK. Even in the pantheon of CUK cretins who failed CSE English, you shine out, and I'm including oPM in that. Congratulations.

[Yorkie62]

You really are the stupidest poster in the history of CUK. Even in the pantheon of CUK cretins who failed CSE English, you shine out, and I'm including oPM in that. Congratulations.

It was a reasonable question and all you can do is respond with abuse. Just what is your problem? Why are you incapable of entering into a reasoned discussion and debate without first resorting to abuse? Words fail me regarding your behaviour. With people like you behaving in the way you do when someone asks you a reasonable question there is no wonder this country is in the mess it is in. Completely unprofessional behaviour.

[Zigenare]

It was a reasonable question and all you can do is respond with abuse. Just what is your problem? Why are you incapable of entering into a reasoned discussion and debate without first resorting to abuse? Words fail me regarding your behaviour. With people like you behaving in the way you do when someone asks you a reasonable question there is no wonder this country is in the mess it is in. Completely unprofessional behaviour.

OG sought sanctuary in Ireland. In a country of thick in-breds he managed to lower the average IQ, quite an achievement.

[original PM]

You really are the stupidest poster in the history of CUK. Even in the pantheon of CUK cretins who failed CSE English, you shine out, and I'm including oPM in that. Congratulations.

I actually did GCSE's - bit young for O levels and CSE's.

And I got B's in English lang and lit.