The idea of HMRC using the data to find IR35 targets is speculation. It's a reasonable concern, but speculation all the same.
Obviously the reason this is happening is because of the false self employment legislation, which is ostensibly aimed at sole trader types working through agencies (construction workers etc). Unfortunately HMRC are using the standard sledgehammer approach and limited company contractors are being caught in the crossfire.
A probably consequence of both the false self employment legislation and the government's apparent dislike of umbrella companies is that more and more people will herd into PSCs. If that happens I wouldn't be surprised if both IR35 and MSC activity was stepped up significantly.
Obviously the reason this is happening is because of the false self employment legislation, which is ostensibly aimed at sole trader types working through agencies (construction workers etc). Unfortunately HMRC are using the standard sledgehammer approach and limited company contractors are being caught in the crossfire.
A probably consequence of both the false self employment legislation and the government's apparent dislike of umbrella companies is that more and more people will herd into PSCs. If that happens I wouldn't be surprised if both IR35 and MSC activity was stepped up significantly.

This needs to be viewed in a broader enforcement context across all types of agency arrangements, as will become clear in the coming months and years (cough. FLC. cough). Where I differ with QDOS is over the implications for use of Ltd companies, as I think it will have the opposite effect on contracting; also, while IR35 has worked for HMRC, it remains expensive to operate as an enforcement mechanism and relies heavily on deterrence. There are powerful arguments for tax simplification in the longer term, but it won't be pretty in the interim.
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