Originally posted by northernladuk
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I'd say roughly speaking:
A: chance of investigation 1/1000 (taken from an AbbeyTax doc)
B: chance of losing investigation assuming you have a decent contract they've approved, say 1/10 (not sure of exact stats but this is probably conservative)
overall chance of IR35 claim being "successful by HMRC" 1/10000 (A*B)
cost of tax/interest from losing IR35 investigation: (say) £50,000 (C)
averaged cost per punter = C/(A*B) = £5
price charged: £200
profit £195 per punter
As long as you can convince enough people that IR35 is enough of a threat that spending "less than a day rate!!!" on "insurance" for it, then you've got a pretty good business model
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