Reply to: Letters to a Heretic

[BlasterBates]

Speaking of miscalculations.

Interesting new paper.

New paper claims a value one seventh of the IPCC best estimate for Climate Sensitivity for a CO2 doubling | Watts Up With That?

Which basically means IPCC calculations are skew wiff.

[pjclarke]

....Can anyone see a natural 60 year cycle here?

There seems to be a rash of trying to explain global warming by theories that either ignore, or flatly contradict, the science called “physics.”

Often they involve some mysterious “cycle” (usually a 60-odd year cycle) which is claimed to be “obvious” but doesn’t stand up to analytical scrutiny. This is suggested as a cause of the global warming that’s been observed over the last century or so — or at least, the cause of so much of it that it enables one to minimize the warming due to man-made greenhouse gases.

Mathturbation

[shaunbhoy]

I see Sasguru is limbering up nicely for the Annual C0ck of the Forum Awards, having so narrowly missed out last year.
Got to admire his tenacity.

He has all the natural attributes required to master this discipline. Arrogant, shallow, friendless, boring, uninteresting, monotonous, cloth-eared, fatuous, and thick-skinned with a head to match.

Go sasguru..............whoop whoop!!!

[Churchill]

What is it with all you ex-squaddies that you keep digging?
Tenacity is probably an admirable quality when defending against the enemy, but is mere asinine mulishness in this context.
You really are a moron. Seriously.

You're repeating yourself.

[EternalOptimist]

The other side of Dunning Kruger is that those who really are clever and knowledgeable tend to under-rate themselves. Or so I have heard, I don't really know anything about it.


The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt.
-- Bertrand Russell

I have never ever said that SaSGoru was cocksure,

I said he sure was a cock

[Ignis Fatuus]

The problem with BB, EO, SB, DP and the usual suspects is this:
They suffer from the Dunning Kruger effect.

Poorly educated and not very bright, they don't know why they don't know what they are talking about.
Courses in basic statistics, how science works and basic logic would help but rather than undergo these disciplines, they prefer to make us endure their ill-informed drivel.

The other side of Dunning Kruger is that those who really are clever and knowledgeable tend to under-rate themselves. Or so I have heard, I don't really know anything about it.


The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt.
-- Bertrand Russell

[DimPrawn]

The problem with BB, EO, SB, DP and the usual suspects is this:
They suffer from the Dunning Kruger effect.

Poorly educated and not very bright, they don't know why they don't know what they are talking about.
Courses in basic statistics, how science works and basic logic would help but rather than undergo these disciplines, they prefer to make us endure their ill-informed drivel.

Thanks, I didn't even realise I didn't know why I don't know what I don't know, but now I know, cheers.

[sasguru]

The problem with BB, EO, SB, DP and the usual suspects is this:
They suffer from the Dunning Kruger effect.

Poorly educated and not very bright, they don't know why they don't know what they are talking about.
Courses in basic statistics, how science works and basic logic would help but rather than undergo these disciplines, they prefer to make us endure their ill-informed drivel.

[sasguru]

Temperature record of Arizona



Can anyone see a natural 60 year cycle here?

That's why the discipline of statistics was invented, so you don't have to judge things by eye.
Instead of posting drivel on here, take a course in basic statistics - it will help you to avoid making idiotic posts like this one.
You really are an ignorant cretin. Seriously.

[EternalOptimist]

What is it with all you ex-squaddies that you keep digging?
Tenacity is probably an admirable quality when defending against the enemy, but is mere asinine mulishness in this context.
You really are a moron. Seriously.

there are only two certainties in the roots of CAGW. CO2 and human stupidity
and I am not sure about the CO2
-EternalEinstein

[sasguru]

History is made !! do you remember where you were when JFK was shot ? when a man stepped onto the moon or the wall came down ?
too young maybe ?

fear not. you were here when a new milestone was laid down in human history.

Ladies and Gentlemen, I give you SasGoru. <rounds of applause, standing ovations and nobel prizes>


We dont need measurements to prove CAGW
we dont even need models to prove CAGW
We dont need learned professors and scolars

all we need is an insurance salesman


- hey presto. I've seen the light

I'm saved. the planet is saved. long live Gaia

What is it with all you ex-squaddies that you keep digging?
Tenacity is probably an admirable quality when defending against the enemy, but is mere asinine mulishness in this context.
You really are a moron. Seriously.

[EternalOptimist]

You really are very stupid indeed. Seriously.
The insurance industry is a cold hard business,They are not likely to be taken in by any false claims on either side or they won't have a business.
That's why they hire actuaries to analyse the data.
So if you want to trust anyone in this debate, trust the money men - because where dosh is involved suddenly people start thinking very clearly.
Unlike some third rate unemployed IT jobber.

HTH

History is made !! do you remember where you were when JFK was shot ? when a man stepped onto the moon or the wall came down ?
too young maybe ?

fear not. you were here when a new milestone was laid down in human history.

Ladies and Gentlemen, I give you SasGoru. <rounds of applause, standing ovations and nobel prizes>


We dont need measurements to prove CAGW
we dont even need models to prove CAGW
We dont need learned professors and scolars

all we need is an insurance salesman


- hey presto. I've seen the light

I'm saved. the planet is saved. long live Gaia

[BlasterBates]

Temperature record of Arizona



Can anyone see a natural 60 year cycle here?

[landl]

The insurance industry is a cold hard business...

You really are very stupid indeed. Seriously.
The insurance industry is a cold hard business,They are not likely to be taken in by any false claims on either side or they won't have a business.
HTH

...which is also the reason that they are likely to exploit any excuse available to justify increases to the premiums that they charge their customers. The actuaries do a great job of informing them of the real perceived risks. The "money men" then decide what they can get away with to make as big a profit as possible.

I don't think the insurance companies are to be blindly and somewhat naively trusted on this one. Just my opinion.

PS - I'm not an idiot, but feel free to dismiss me anyway in the same manner that you have done with just about every person who has ever had a contrary opinion. A great attitude for personal growth I'm sure.

[sasguru]

In other news, other people and organisations that stand to profit by it, support CAGW, and people who stand to lose money, deny it.

anyone who thinks people with a vested interest are impartial, are deluded fools. sorry about that

You really are very stupid indeed. Seriously.
The insurance industry is a cold hard business,They are not likely to be taken in by any false claims on either side or they won't have a business.
That's why they hire actuaries to analyse the data.
So if you want to trust anyone in this debate, trust the money men - because where dosh is involved suddenly people start thinking very clearly.
Unlike some third rate unemployed IT jobber.

HTH