What odds

[Cyberman]

DT is reporting that Blears has flipped another home so as far as I can see, she's damaged goods.

I reckon Hilary Benn, David Miliband or Alan Johnson will make the running.

Absolutely true. Blears is finished, as are most of Labour's flawed talent. I just cannot see how Brown can raise a cabinet, or anybody else for that matter. Labour are 'dead men walking'.

[Doggy Styles]

I do not think NL could field a leadership candidate that would make them electable.

Maybe not as a government, but they could field one who could save 30 or 40 Labour seats.

Labour MPs will be looking to save as many of their own skins as possible.

[Doggy Styles]

I think that is about right. Except the first one. I'd put the odds a lot higher than that. Actually, it's fraudulent to offer odds on a June'09 election. Even if the snot goblin wandered round to see Queenie for tea this afternoon to ask her to do the do - it takes six weeks to hold an election so it would be July 09 at the earliest.

Unless they've changed the rules recently, they only have to give three weeks notice of a General Election, so it could be done in June.

It would be a bit of a rush, mind.

[Peoplesoft bloke]

I bet Blears stands for leader though - she can't help herself

[Peoplesoft bloke]

Hope springs eternal. Trouble is, he'll be replaced by another Liebore arsehole who might then get a bounce in Labour support and call a quick election. Just imagine; 5 more years of Labour.

Just as the Allies decided against trying to assassinate Hitler because of his incompetence as a military commander, Cameron and Clegg might feel that Brown is their greatest strategic asset right now.

Nah - Brown is tulip but they've only got tulipe to replace him with - it's win win

[HairyArsedBloke]

Ladbrokes:

Month of next election
June 2009 100/1
July 2009 14/1
August 2009 40/1
September 2009 16/1
October 2009 3/1
November 2009 7/1
December 2009 100/1
January 2010 66/1
February 2010 50/1
March 2010 25/1
April 2010 20/1
May 2010 evens
June 2010 16/1

I think that is about right. Except the first one. I'd put the odds a lot higher than that. Actually, it's fraudulent to offer odds on a June'09 election. Even if the snot goblin wandered round to see Queenie for tea this afternoon to ask her to do the do - it takes six weeks to hold an election so it would be July 09 at the earliest.

[Cyberman]

The best thing for Labour would be to dump Brown, change leader and hold a snap election before the new leader can cock anything up. I can then see Labour polling quite well as their union and public sector cronies come out to support them. They will not win but at least the party will continue as the second largest. Otherwise, they may well cease to exist after 2010.

[Moscow Mule]

Ladbrokes:

To resign as Prime Minister

Gordon Brown to resign, announce his intention to resign before a General Election, or otherwise leave the post of Prime Minister in June
Gordon Brown to resign as Prime Minister before 01/07/2009 5/6
Gordon Brown NOT to resign as Prime Minister before 01/07/2009 5/6

Month of next election
June 2009 100/1
July 2009 14/1
August 2009 40/1
September 2009 16/1
October 2009 3/1
November 2009 7/1
December 2009 100/1
January 2010 66/1
February 2010 50/1
March 2010 25/1
April 2010 20/1
May 2010 evens
June 2010 16/1

[Platypus]

I do not think NL could field a leadership candidate that would make them electable.

That's what a polling expert from MORI was saying this morning on R4

[The Lone Gunman]

Are any of the possible replacements untouched by the expences scandal?

I do not think NL could field a leadership candidate that would make them electable.

[Pondlife]

Could I get on Brown to be gone by this time next week and Blears to be standing for the leadership? Trevor Cavener (sp) says Brown won't last the week

DT is reporting that Blears has flipped another home so as far as I can see, she's damaged goods.

I reckon Hilary Benn, David Miliband or Alan Johnson will make the running.

[Mich the Tester]

Hope springs eternal. Trouble is, he'll be replaced by another Liebore arsehole who might then get a bounce in Labour support and call a quick election. Just imagine; 5 more years of Labour.

Just as the Allies decided against trying to assassinate Hitler because of his incompetence as a military commander, Cameron and Clegg might feel that Brown is their greatest strategic asset right now.

[Platypus]

Paddy Power are offering odds of just 5/4 that Prime Minister Gordon Brown leaves Number 10 for good before the end of the summer.

http://www.bettingpro.com/category/P...-200906030015/

[Peoplesoft bloke]

Could I get on Brown to be gone by this time next week and Blears to be standing for the leadership? Trevor Cavener (sp) says Brown won't last the week