Reply to: 5-day weather forecast

[EternalOptimist]

Believe it or not, Adolf Hitler had a 100% weather forcasting record, he was fond of saying 'tomorrow it vill either rain, or it vill not"


its all about presentation you see

[timh]

I don't think a percentage is complicated, and I'm sure there are times when they're certain it'll be nice and dry and other times when it's really 50/50.. It'd just be nice to know which is which.

Didn't know they used to do it... Foiled by morons yet again!

[dang65]

Scorchio.

[Gonzo]

The solution is to go and live somewhere where the weather is very predictable such as northern africa or the middle east. I believe that parts of central USA are like that too.

I'd hate it.

[chicane]

I want to see a "% confidence" next to every weather forecast. Why do they not do this already?

Because life is complicated enough already. Besides, the % confidence figure would be as meaningless as the forecast itself.

[wendigo100]

I want to see a "% confidence" next to every weather forecast. Why do they not do this already?

They used to do that on Radio Five weather reports in the early nineties. I though it was a great idea. Something like:

Central England, max 20 degrees, 10% chance of rain, etc

They dropped it because too many listeners didn't understand it. They just wanted to know "whether it was going to rain or not" !!!

[timh]

I want to see a "% confidence" next to every weather forecast. Why do they not do this already?

[wendigo100]

We have no control over the weather, mother nature does that.

I know, but why should having no control over the weather stop me complaining about inaccurate forecasting?

That's like having no control over the railways stopping me complaining when the trains aren't running to the published timetable.

We pay the wages of weathermen to... (etc, etc)

[angusglover]

what p*sses me off is the fact that it rains so damn much in this country...and noone does a damn thing about it!!!!!

[Moscow Mule]

...I'd say they get it right 75% of the time...

<aside> Do more research before posting </aside>


http://www.whatprice.co.uk/weather.html

[Moscow Mule]

Simple. Most people use the long distance weather forecast to plan an event ahead of time.

If the forecasters can change the long distance forecast on any given day, what is the bloody point of the forecast?

You may as well just trust to luck.

Yes, in weather like this you may as well.

Long range forecasting is hard, and I'd say they get it right 75% of the time.

[Chugnut]

I've found that the best display of the weather is on that big screen that most rooms have on the wall. It shows if it's sunny or rainy exactly where you are. Amazingly accurate. Don't know how they do that. Must be Web 2.0 or something.

No, it's just plain Windows.

[dang65]

I've found that the best display of the weather is on that big screen that most rooms have on the wall. It shows if it's sunny or rainy exactly where you are. Amazingly accurate. Don't know how they do that. Must be Web 2.0 or something.

[sasguru]

Mother Nature does not exist. You might as well pray to Batman.

Aye.

[ChimpMaster]

We have no control over the weather, mother nature does that.

Mother Nature does not exist. You might as well pray to Batman.