When is the next recession ?

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TwoWolves replied

25 January 2019, 22:42
Originally posted by RetSet View Post

No it didn't. Property prices fell around 25% in real terms during the crash. MMW is happening now. See London house price trends for further details.

Boom & Bust cancelled? Are you Gordon Brown?

Did I forget my sarc tag?
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RetSet replied

25 January 2019, 22:32
Originally posted by TwoWolves View Post

But they cancelled the last correction with ultra-low rates and QE. There is no cycle anymore, no more [tory] boom and bust (tm).

No it didn't. Property prices fell around 25% in real terms during the crash. MMW is happening now. See London house price trends for further details.

Boom & Bust cancelled? Are you Gordon Brown?
Leave a comment:
GreenMirror replied

24 January 2019, 08:13
We are already £2trn in debt. Any sign of recession and it will turn into £3trn.
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vetran replied

24 January 2019, 00:07
Originally posted by scooterscot View Post

more like 2 - 5 months

we aren't talking about the Fatherland !

Germany slumps to worst growth in five years in 2018, official figures shows | The Independent
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scooterscot replied

23 January 2019, 22:16
more like 2 - 5 months
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DimPrawn replied

23 January 2019, 22:09
According to the BoE, we have are doing very nicely, plenty of scope to increase debt levels amongst the plebs:

https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/me...44AE9545CEDCBA

My estimate is we are 2 to 5 years away from any significant financial "event"
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TwoWolves replied

23 January 2019, 21:31
Originally posted by RetSet View Post

18 year property cycle.

Midmarket wobble halfway through.

We're in midmarket wobble now.

Next property crash - 2025 give or take a year or two.

But they cancelled the last correction with ultra-low rates and QE. There is no cycle anymore, no more [tory] boom and bust (tm).
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RetSet replied

23 January 2019, 21:25
18 year property cycle.

Midmarket wobble halfway through.

We're in midmarket wobble now.

Next property crash - 2025 give or take a year or two.
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gooddayall started a topic When is the next recession ?

23 January 2019, 20:39
When is the next recession ?

Someone told me his apartment in Netherlands doubled in price in 3 years. I have seen prices raise at 10 % a year in other places ...

It is been 10 years since last official recession ... so another must be coming ...

Any recession won't hurt house prices for more than 3 years in my opinion anyway.
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